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The Golden State Warriors (39-28) welcome the Denver Nuggets (43-25) to Chase Center in San Francisco Monday. Tip is set for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Nuggets lead 1-0
The Nuggets were upset 126-123 as 12-point home favorites Saturday when Washington Wizards G Jordan Poole hit a 3-pointer with 2.1 seconds left — the Over (243.5) cashed, too. C Nikola Jokic had another outstanding game for the Nuggets, scoring 40 points (on 16-for-30 shooting) and grabbing 13 rebounds. Denver has traded off wins and losses over the last 6 games, while going a dismal 1-5 against the spread (ATS). It is 32-35-1 ATS on the season.
The Warriors enter on a 7-game win streak, recently beating the visiting New York Knicks 97-94 Saturday, though Golden State failed to cover as a 7-point favorite with the Under (227) hitting. They were led by G Stephen Curry, who tallied 28 points. Golden State has won 12 of its last 13 games and has gone 8-4-1 ATS in those. The Warriors are 34-31-2 ATS on the season.
Nuggets at Warriors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:27 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Warriors -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Nuggets +5.5 (-115) | Warriors -5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Nuggets at Warriors key injuries
Nuggets
- G Christian Braun (foot) probable
- F Aaron Gordon (calf, ankle) questionable
- C Nikola Jokic (elbow, ankle) questionable
- G Jamal Murray (ankle) questionable
- G Julian Strawther (knee) out
Warriors
- G Stephen Curry (back) questionable
- G Gary Payton II (nose) available
- G Brandin Podziemski (back) out
- C Quinten Post (ankle) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Nuggets at Warriors picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 123, Nuggets 120
Moneyline
PASS.
While Denver (+165) is enticing, the better play for the road side is on the spread. The Warriors (-200) are too expensive to take to win outright here.
Against the spread
BET NUGGETS +5.5 (-115).
The Nuggets have struggled over their last few games, but they are 4-3 ATS in their last 7 on the road and 2-2 ATS in their last 4 as an underdog. They have scored at least 123 points in 3 of their last 4 contests, so the firepower should be there to keep this one close.
Golden State is just 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games as a favorite. If Curry isn’t 100%, the Warriors could struggle. The Nuggets have the size and they stack up well to defend Curry and F Jimmy Butler. The Warriors are just 16-17-1 ATS at home.
BACK NUGGETS +5.5 (-115).
Over/Under
BET OVER 236.5 (-110).
Both teams like to score points. The Nuggets have scored at least 131 in 3 of their last 6 games and have the second-best offensive rating in the NBA at 119.3 — Cleveland is first at 121.5. Denver also has defensive issues, allowing at least 126 in 5 of its last 6 contests.
The Warriors have scored at least 121 in 3 of their last 5 games and have scored exactly 130 points in 2 of their last 3. They have gone Over in 3 of their last 5. BACK OVER 236.5 (-110).
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