The Denver Nuggets (38-20) have a Friday night road game against the Golden State Warriors (29-30), who open a three-game homestand. Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET in Chase Center. Below, we analyze the Nuggets-Warriors odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
The Nuggets, who recently lost PG Jamal Murray to a torn ACL, have responded to the injury. They have won four games in a row in his absence and 12 of their last 14 overall. They are currently in fourth place in the West, 5.5 games out of the top seed.
Golden State wrapped up a five-game road trip, losing two of their last three. They hold a three-game lead for the 10 seed, the final spot for a play-in game. PG Stephen Curry has hit 10 or more three-point shots in four of his last six games, but shot 7-of-25 overall and 2-of-14 from three-point range in the Warriors’ 118-114 loss to the Washington Wizards Wednesday.
Nuggets at Warriors: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Nuggets -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Warriors +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread/ATS: Nuggets -3 (-110) | Warriors +3 (-110)
- Over/Under: 229.5 (O: -110| U: -110)
Nuggets at Warriors: Key injuries
Nuggets
- PG Monte Morris (hamstring) out
- PG Jamal Murray (torn ACL) out
Warriors
- SG Damion Lee (health and safety protocols) out
- PF Eric Paschall (hip) out
- C James Wiseman (knee) out
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Nuggets at Warriors: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Warriors 115, Nuggets 111
Money line (ML)
The Nuggets surprisingly have not lost since Murray tore his ACL. They have been strong on the road this season, going 18-10 and have won four straight road games.
Golden State has won five of its last seven games. They are getting MVP-level performance from Curry. In his last 12 games, he is averaging 38.1 points per game, scoring over 30 ten times and over 40 five times, including one over 50. The Warriors go the way Curry goes. Without Murray to make him work on defense, Curry should have a big game and keep the Warriors in it. Take the WARRIORS +125.
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Against the spread (ATS)
The Warriors have covered the spread in five of their last seven games. Overall, they are 28-31 ATS. They are 16-11 ATS at home.
The Nuggets are 28-30 ATS this season and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. They are 15-13 ATS as a road team.
Since we expect a Warriors straight-up win, the money line gives you better value, but if you want an extra couple points of cushion, you can still take them against the spread.
Take WARRIORS +3 (-110).
Over/Under (O/U)
The Warriors’ over percentage this season is only 40.7%, the second-lowest in the league. Their games have gone Over the total twice in the last six games. However, they have scored at least 114 points in six of their last seven games.
Denver has the fifth-highest over percentage in the league at 56.9% but is 2-3-1 O/U in its last six games.
It will be close, but take UNDER 229.5 POINTS (-110).
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