The Dallas Mavericks (7-4) travel to AT&T Center Friday to take on the San Antonio Spurs (4-7). Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Mavs at Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
With a 10-point loss to the Bulls recently, the Mavericks’ three-game winning streak was snapped. Dallas will come in as the favorite at 7-4, but the Mavs have been far from impressive. Dallas has somehow managed to be 7-4 yet has a -3.1 net rating.
The Spurs on other hand are 4-7 with a 2.3 net rating, basically suggesting they keep games close. San Antonio has disappointed this season, winning just four. They’re led by star G Dejounte Murray.
The last time these two teams met, the Mavericks won 109-108. G Jalen Brunson had 31 points. Murray led the Spurs with 23 as the Spurs had five players score double figures.
Mavericks at Spurs odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Mavericks -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Spurs +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -2.5 (-115) | Spurs +2.5 (-107)
- Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Mavericks at Spurs key injuries
Mavericks
- PF Maxi Kleber (oblique) out
Spurs
- C Jakob Poeltl (health and safety protocols) out
Mavericks at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Spurs 107, Mavericks 103
Money line
BET on the SPURS (+115) as they’re one of the most complete teams in the NBA. While 4-7 is shocking, the Spurs still do a ton of things well. For starters, they rank second in the league in turnover rate.
They also rank third in field goals attempts and fourth in field goal percentage. Their success on the glass and in the halfcourt hasn’t translated to wins yet, but it should here.
This is a good matchup for San Antonio as Murray’s length (he has a 6-foot-10 wingspan) should give MVP candidate Luka Doncic, who is shooting a career-low 48.5% effecitive field goal percentage, problems.
The Mavs are in the bottom half of the league in offensive and defensive rating. Having already taken down the Spurs twice, they’ll be going for the sweep, which isn’t easy to do in any sport.
Against the spread
PASS on the spread with a heavy lean to Spurs.
I like San Antonio to win outright and suggesting that a repeat of its last matchup happening could calm some fears. However, I like San Antonio at plus money to win.
Over/Under
BET on the UNDER 218.5 (-107) as both the teams’ two previous battles have gone Under this amount.
Furthermore, both teams rank in the bottom third of the league in offensive rebounding rate. With the Spurs not turning the ball over and not getting to the glass, especially down their starting center, expect a low-scoring game.
Playing at Doncic’s tempo, the Mavs rank 23rd in pace. They won’t be the ones wanting a run-and-gun game. Both teams should be slowing it down which should result in a low-scoring affair.
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]