The Dallas Mavericks (43-26) travel to the City of Brotherly Love Friday to play the Philadelphia 76ers (42-26) at the Wells Fargo Center. Tip-off is scheduled for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. 76ers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Dallas is 5-1 straight up (SU) and 3-3 against the spread (ATS) over the last two weeks, most recently beating the Nets 113-111 Wednesday in Brooklyn but failing to cover as 3-point road favorites.
Philly has alternated between winning and losing over its last seven games (4-3 SU and 1-5-1 ATS) with the latest being a 118-114 victory Wednesday at the Cleveland Cavaliers, covering as 3.5-point road favorites.
The Mavs beat the Sixers 107-98 in Dallas Feb. 4, but that was before Philly acquired James Harden. In that game, Luka Doncic scored a game-high 33 points with 15 assists and 13 rebounds for the Mavs while Joel Embiid had 27 points and 13 rebounds for the Sixers.
Mavericks at 76ers odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:47 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Mavericks +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | 76ers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Mavericks +3.5 (-112) | 76ers -3.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
Mavericks at 76ers key injuries
Mavericks
- None
76ers
- C Joel Embiid (back) questionable
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Mavericks at 76ers odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 119, 76ers 108
Money line
SPRINKLE on the MAVERICKS (+125) because Luka is playing better than anyone else in this game and Dallas’s new three-guard starting five looks potent.
Since the All-Star break, Doncic is averaging 31.3 points on 60.8% true shooting (.483/.364/.767), 9.9 rebounds, 6.8 assists and a plus-6 net rating in nine games. Also, newly acquired SG Spencer Dinwiddie is giving Dallas good minutes.
Dinwiddie is averaging an efficient 17.9 points per game since coming to Dallas on 58.7% effective field goal shooting (.500/.431). Also, the Mavs are scoring 13.1 more points per 100 possessions when Dinwiddie is on the floor, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).
My preferred wager is Dallas’s spread, but there’s some value on the MAVERICKS (+125).
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Against the spread
Definitely BET MAVERICKS +3.5 (-112) heavier than or instead of their money line.
Dallas is 11-5 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning record and 7-0 ATS in the last four games as underdogs while Philly is 6-12 ATS at home versus winning teams.
Finally, there’s some suspicious reverse line movement in Dallas’s direction. According to Pregame.com, the Mavs have gone from a 4.5-point underdog on the opener down to the current price despite most of the cash being on the Sixers. It’s worrisome when the House makes the more popular side cheaper.
The MAVERICKS PLUS THE POINTS is my favorite wager in this game.
Over/Under
Slight LEAN to the OVER 217.5 (-108) as a fade against all the pro-Under money that has steamed this total down from the 225-point opener, per VegasInsider.com.
The Mavs have one of the best defenses in the NBA but the Davis Bertans and Dinwiddie acquisitions have given Dallas’s offense a jolt.
Also, Philly’s defense has been subpar the last two weeks and it struggles when Harden is on the floor.
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