Dallas Mavericks at New York Knicks odds, picks and predictions

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The Dallas Mavericks (35-37) and New York Knicks (44-26) meet Tuesday. Tip-off from Madison Square Garden is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Knicks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mavericks lead 1-0

The Mavericks are coming off a 120-101 win at the Brooklyn Nets Monday, covering as 3-point favorites with the Over (218) cashing. F Naji Marshall scored a game-high 22 points off the bench and F Anthony Davis had 12 points in 27 minutes in his return from a groin injury that sidelined him for 6 weeks. Davis said Monday that he doesn’t expect to play in Tuesday’s game. Dallas has a 6.7% chance to make the playoffs, according to ESPN’s Power Index.

The Knicks covered as 15.5-point home favorites in a 122-103 win vs. the Washington Wizards Saturday as the total (225) pushed. C Karl-Anthony Towns finished with a game-high 31 points with 11 rebounds and F Mikal Bridges added 27 points. New York is in third place in the East, 2½ games ahead of the fourth-place Indiana Pacers. With 12 games left, the Knicks likely won’t catch the second-place Boston Celtics, who are 8 games ahead.

In a Nov. 27 meeting, the Mavericks covered as 4-point home underdogs in a 129-114 win over the Knicks as the Over (231.5) hit. Marshall led the Mavs with 24 points, while G Kyrie Irving added 23 points, but he’s out for the season with a torn ACL. Knicks G Jalen Brunson had a game-high 37 points in the loss — he’ll also be out Tuesday as he’s dealing with an ankle injury.

Mavericks at Knicks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:02 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Knicks -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +8.5 (-110) | Knicks -8.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mavericks at Knicks key injuries

Mavericks

(Not yet submitted — below was for Monday’s game)

C Anthony Davis (groin) doubtful
G Dante Exum (hand) out
C Daniel Gafford (knee) out
G Kyrie Irving (knee) out for season
C Dereck Lively II (ankle) out
F Caleb Martin (hip) out

Knicks

G Jalen Brunson (ankle) out
G Miles McBride (groin) out
C Mitchell Robinson (ankle) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Knicks picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 122, Mavericks 108

Moneyline

New York (-350) will likely beat the short-handed Mavericks (+280), but the bid-ask difference is too high in this market.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

The Mavericks are coming off an impressive win at Brooklyn Monday, but they should struggle on the second half of a back-to-back, especially with Davis not expected to play.

New York, on the other hand, has won 2 straight home games by 19 or more points.

Now is the time to fade Dallas. The Mavericks have covered 3 straight games, but they haven’t covered 4 in a row since a 6-game cover streak from Nov. 25 to Dec. 5 — before G Luka Doncic was traded to the Los Angeles Lakers.

BET KNICKS -8.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Over has hit in the Mavericks’ last 8 games, and Dallas has allowed 122 or more points in 10 of its last 12 outings.

After 2 straight losses Wednesday and Thursday, New York’s offense bounced back with 122 points against Washington Saturday. It should be able to pick up where it left off against this short-handed Mavericks defense.

BET OVER 223.5 (-115).

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