Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

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The Dallas Mavericks (2-1) and Minnesota Timberwolves (2-1) meet Tuesday for a rematch of the 2024 Western Conference Finals. Tip-off from Target Center is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Minnesota won 3-1 last season

Dallas came away with a 110-102 win over the Utah Jazz Monday while failing to cover as a 12-point favorite. The Mavs held Utah to just 37% shooting from the floor and 28.6% from deep. Dallas has held opponents to fewer than 110 points in each of its 2 wins this season.

Minnesota beat the Toronto Raptors 112-101 Saturday while failing to cover as a 14.5-point favorite. The Timberwolves forced 20 turnovers, enough to make up for Minnesota being outrebounded 46 to 41. The Timberwolves have won back-to-back games.

Mavericks at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Timberwolves -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +4.5 (-105) | Timberwolves -4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Timberwolves key injuries

Mavericks

Not yet submitted

Timberwolves

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 111, Mavericks 107

Moneyline

PASS.

I expect the Timberwolves to win and cover as -200 favorites, but they are not worth the risk of betting on at this price, especially when I expect this contest to be much tighter than the odds suggest. Pass on this bet, and play the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET MAVERICKS +4.5 (-105).

This is a game that I expect to be very close, as Dallas has what I expect to be the better offense, while Minnesota is better defensively. I also like the depth of Minnesota more. However, Dallas has the better scoring potential and the best player in G Luka Doncic, and that will be enough to keep this game close, as both teams are still figuring things out at this point of the season.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 222.5 (-110).

The Under is 2-1 in Minnesota’s games this season and has hit in back-to-back games for Dallas. Both squads are among the top third of the league defensively, and while both teams have players that can stuff the stat sheet, the defense is what will be the storyline of this game.

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