Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (28-21) travel in-state to play the Houston Rockets (13-37) Wednesday at Toyota Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Rockets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas has won five in a row and seven of its past nine games (7-2 against the spread) including a 111-103 victory over the first-place Utah Jazz Monday without PF Kristaps Porzingis as 5.5-point home underdogs.

The Rockets enter on a five-game losing streak and have dropped 27 of their last 29 games (6-23 ATS). Houston lost 133-130 to the Phoenix Suns Monday as 14-point home underdogs to cover its second game in the last four.

A couple of weeks before Houston’s epic 20-game losing streak, the Rockets dominated the Mavs 133-108 to even the season series. However, four of Houston’s starters won’t be in today’s game, and Porzingis is probable to return tonight.

Mavericks at Rockets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mavericks -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Rockets +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -10.5 (-110) | Rockets +10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Rockets: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • PF Kristaps Porzingis (wrist) probable
  • PF Maxi Kleber (lower leg) questionable
  • PG Trey Burke (calf) questionable
  • Willie Cauley-Stein (health and safety protocols) out
  • SG J.J. Redick (heel) out

Rockets

  • SG Avery Bradley (knee) probable
  • PG John Wall (knee) probable
  • SG Eric Gordon (groin) out
  • SF David Nwaba (wrist) out
  • SF Danuel House (ankle) out

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Mavericks at Rockets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 117, Rockets 109

Money line (ML)

PASS because Dallas should win this game easily, but the Mavericks (-550) is far too expensive given the randomness of the NBA regular season.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Dallas is percolating right now and rounding into form as the season progresses, but the Mavs are just 2-8 ATS at home against teams with a losing record.

Also, according to Pregame.com, nearly 85% of the money is on Dallas to cover but bookmakers have moved the line down from the 11-point opener, which is a red flag.

Granted, the market hasn’t adjusted to Houston’s terribleness (16-34 ATS this season), but the Rockets have covered or been with a few possessions of covering in their last seven games.

“LEAN” to the ROCKETS +10.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit because betting on Houston this season would have destroyed your bankroll.

Over/Under (O/U)

Luka Dončić has been terrific post-All-Star break and is averaging 29.5 points, 10.5 rebounds and 9.5 assists per game in the first two Mavericks-Rockets meetings this season.

Also, if the Rockets are going to cover this game, they’ll most likely need to execute offensively. Luka’s numbers are almost a lock, and Houston’s offense put up 130 points against an awesome Phoenix Suns defense Monday.

BET OVER 222.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

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