Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

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The Dallas Mavericks (45-29) wrap up a 5-game road trip on Tuesday against the Golden State Warriors (40-33). Tip-off at Chase Center is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Mavericks lead 2-0; Dallas is 2-0 against the spread (ATS), with the Over-Under splitting 1-1

The Mavs enter on a 7-game winning streak, while covering the past 5 outings. The Over cashed in Houston (229.5) in a 125-107 win on Sunday, halting a 6-0 run to the Under.

The Mavs are 11-1 ATS in the past 12 outings, while the total has gone low in 8 of the past 10 games for Dallas. That includes a 109-99 win as 8.5-point favorites as the Under (233) cashed in the most recent meeting with the Warriors in the Metroplex on March 13.

The Warriors have won 4 straight games, their longest success streak since rattling off 5 straight wins from Feb. 5-12. Golden State is 3-1 ATS in the win streak, although it failed to cover in a 117-113 win last time out in San Antonio on Sunday as the Over (228.5) cashed. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 outings.

Dallas holds a slight 4-3 SU edge in the past 7 meetings, but the Mavericks have covered 5 straight. The Over is 6-1 across the past 7 battles in this series, although that lone Under was in the most recent meeting on March 13.

Mavericks at Warriors odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:02 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Warriors -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Against the spread: Mavericks +1.5 (-120) | Warriors -1.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mavericks at Warriors key injuries

Mavericks

F Greg Brown III (personal) out
G Josh Green (ankle) out
C Dereck Lively II (leg) questionable

Warriors

F Jonathan Kuminga (knee) questionable
F Dario Saric (knee) out
G Klay Thompson (knee) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 118, Warriors 108

Moneyline

The MAVERICKS (-110) are a solid play on the road, as Dallas looks to cap off its road trip at a perfect 5-0 SU. The Mavs have actually won 5 in a row on the road, and 8 of the past 10 away from home, too.

The Warriors (-110) have been playing good ball lately, too, and wins in Miami and Orlando in the past week were impressive. But 2 of the 4 victories on the 5-game road trip came in Charlotte and San Antonio against bad basketball teams, so do the recent winning ways for the Warriors mean things are turning around? We’ll find out a lot on Tuesday. With Kuminga carrying a questionable tag, and Saric out, it could be a tough outing for the Dubs.

Against the spread

The MAVERICKS +1.5 (-120) are worth playing if you need a little insurance although the moneyline is a better value.

Dallas has covered the past 5 games, including road wins against Houston, Sacramento (x2) and Utah, and it cashed in Oklahoma City on March 14 as a 9.5-point underdog. The Mavs are 11-1 ATS in the past 12 games, and getting the job done against some of the top teams in the league lately.

Over/Under

UNDER 232.5 (-115) is worth a look. While the Over has cashed in 6 of the past 7 meetings in this series, we had a low-scoring game in Dallas in the most recent meeting 3 weeks ago.

It’s been all about the Under for the Mavs lately, going 8-2 across the past 10 outings, allowing 107 or fewer points in 7 straight, and 9 of the past 10 contests.

The Dubs have also been on an Under run recently, going 3-1 in the past 4 games, and 4-2 across the past 6 outings.

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