Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (28-25) kick off a 5-game road trip Saturday night, starting with the Golden State Warriors (26-26). Tip-off is 8:30 p.m. ET at Chase Center. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Warriors odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks are coming off a 111-106 home win over the New Orleans Pelicans Thursday as 4.5-point favorites. They went 2-0 in the homestand and have won 3 of their last 4 games.

The Warriors are coming off a 134-117 road loss Thursday night to the Denver Nuggets, failing to cover the 7-point spread as underdogs. They have lost 2 in a row but had a 3-game winning streak before that.

The Mavericks won the first meeting against the Warriors at home 116-113 Nov. 29 as 1-point favorites. Dallas will be without superstar G Luka Doncic (heel) for this one.

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Mavericks at Warriors odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Warriors -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +9.5 (-105) | Warriors -9.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Mavericks at Warriors key injuries

Mavericks

  • Davis Bertans (calf) out
  • Spencer Dinwiddie (knee) questionable
  • Luke Doncic (heel) out
  • Maxi Kleber (hamstring) out
  • Christian Wood (thumb) out

Warriors

  • Stephen Curry (leg) probable
  • Draymond Green (calf) questionable
  • Andre Iguodala (hip) out
  • Klay Thompson (illness) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 120, Mavericks 104

Moneyline

The home team has won 8 of the last 10 meetings between the teams.

The Mavericks are only 9-16 on the road this season and have lost 5 of the last 7 road games.

The Warriors are 19-6 at home this season.

But the line doesn’t make a moneyline bet on the Warriors worth the action.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Mavericks’ 18-33-2 ATS mark is the league’s worst this season. They are 8-17 ATS on the road.

The Warriors are 15-9-1 ATS at home this season. They are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games.

The home team is 7-3 ATS in the two teams’ last 10 meetings.

BET WARRIORS -9.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Only 1 of the Mavericks’ last 7 games has reached 230 total points.

The Under is 4-0 in the Mavs’ last 4 games and 5-1 in their last 6 games playing on one day’s rest.

The Under is 3-0-1 in the Warriors’ last 4 Saturday games.

BET UNDER 226.5 (-112).

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