The Detroit Pistons (19-43) attempt to win back-to-back games for the first time since March 17 and 19. They play host the Dallas Mavericks (34-27), who have won four of their last five games. Tip-off at Little Caesars Arena will be at 7 p.m. ET Thursday. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Pistons odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
The Mavericks split their last 10 games, and they covered the spread in only three of those outings. They’re coming off a 30-point win over the Golden State Warriors Tuesday but have several players listed as questionable for Thursday – including PG Luka Doncic and PF Kristaps Porzingis.
The Pistons beat the Atlanta Hawks Monday and have had two days off to prepare for this matchup. They’re seeking consecutive wins for the first time since March, but they don’t seem motivated to do so. Many key players will be held out to rest, while PG Dennis Smith Jr., remains out due to a knee injury.
Mavericks at Pistons: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at noon ET.
- Money line: Mavericks -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Pistons +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -8.5 (-110) | Pistons +8.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 214.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Mavericks at Pistons: Key injuries
Mavericks
- SG Josh Richardson (hamstring) questionable
- PF Kristaps Porzingis (ankle) questionable
- SG JJ Redick (heel) questionable
- PF Maxi Kleber (back) available
- PG Luka Doncic (elbow) questionable
Pistons
- SG Wayne Ellington (calf, rest) out
- PG Cory Joseph (ankle, rest) out
- SF Jerami Grant (knee, rest) out
- C Mason Plumlee (rest) out
- PG Dennis Smith Jr. (knee) out
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Mavericks at Pistons: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Mavericks 117, Pistons 106
Money line (ML)
The Mavericks are heavily favored in this matchup despite some of their top players being questionable to play. I’d rather PASS on the money line, especially with how many players may not suit up for them tonight.
I would wait to find out who’s playing and then consider a wager on the spread.
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Against the spread (ATS)
Dallas covered the spread easily against the Warriors Tuesday, winning by 30 points as a 4-point underdog. Though the Mavericks covered only three times in their last 10 games, all three of those ATS wins came in their last four outings.
The Pistons are resting a lot of players and could punt this game. Take the MAVERICKS -8.5 (-110), as long as Porzingis or Doncic are playing.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Over/Under is only 214.5 points and is the second-lowest total in the Mavericks’ last 11 games. If Porzingis and Doncic are both sidelined, the final score could be on the lower side but as long as one of them is able to play, I like the OVER 214.5 (-115).
The total went Over in four of the last six head-to-head meetings.
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