The Oklahoma Sooners (8-2) and Florida Gators (8-3) meet in Wednesday night’s Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic in Arlington, Texas. Kickoff will be at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Florida-Oklahoma college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Oklahoma is No. 7 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. Florida is ranked 10th.
Florida vs. Oklahoma: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Florida +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Oklahoma -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Florida +3.5 (+110) | Oklahoma -3.5 (-135)
- Over/Under: 67.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Florida vs. Oklahoma: Three things to know
- The Sooners offense typically draws more attention in a Lincoln Riley era that has seen OU post big scoring numbers. It’s Oklahoma’s defense that has been most impressive in 2020. The Sooners rank sixth in the nation in sacks (3.8 per game) and third in rushing defense (91.6 yards per game). From last season to this, OU has gone from allowing 27.3 points per game (64th) to yielding just 21.9 PPG (30th).
- Florida QB Kyle Trask has completed 69.7% of his passes in 2020. Trask has tossed 43 touchdown passes against just 5 interceptions. Over his last three games, the UF signal-caller has piled up 1,315 passing yards. Trask’s favorite TD target — TE Kyle Pitts — won’t be available for this game, though. College football’s premier tight end announced he was opting out of the Cotton Bowl to prepare for the 2021 NFL Draft.
- The Sooners are 6-1 against the spread over their last seven games. That stretch includes four double-digit covers and seven games that saw OU out-rush its opponents.
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Florida vs. Oklahoma: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Oklahoma 38, Florida 31
Money line (ML)
PASS. Better value is available in taking the Sooners on the spread.
Against the spread (ATS)
The Gators scored an average of 40.5 PPG against the best four defenses they faced in SEC play (Alabama, Georgia, Texas A&M, Kentucky). There was only a little bit of garbage-time effect over that quartet of games (two wins and two losses), and not much turnover benefit. Florida has a top-notch offense but Oklahoma isn’t too far behind, and the Sooners may be performing at peak-level over recent games. OU may be more ready to perform at near its best in putting a bow on the season.
Pitts not being on hand is significant. So is the frame of mind for the players on both sides who do take the field. A Florida team that had been fighting for a College Football Playoff slot up until a couple of weeks ago may be closer to ‘E’ on the fuel gauge. It was already sapped plenty enough by a season of COVID-19 protocols.
Analytics favor Oklahoma in the trenches and a SOONERS -3.5 (-135) LINE IS SOLID: BACK OKLAHOMA.
Over/Under (O/U)
There’s no value on either side of the 67.5-point line. PASS.
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