The Texas Rangers (46-85) host the Colorado Rockies (60-71) Tuesday for the second game of their three-game interleague set at Globe Life Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Texas held off Colorado to win Monday’s series opener 4-3.
Season series: Rockies lead 3-1.
LHP Austin Gomber is Colorado’s projected starter. He is 9-8 with a 4.38 ERA (111 IP, 54 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 22 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 5-2, with 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 8 K Wednesday at the Chicago Cubs.
- Gomber beat Texas June 3 with 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB and 6 K in Colorado’s 11-6 home win.
RHP Jordan Lyles takes the mound for the Rangers. He is 6-11 with a 5.70 ERA (142 IP, 90 ER), 1.49 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 25 starts and one relief appearance.
- Last outing: Loss, 10-6, with 3 2/3 IP, 8 ER, 9 H, 1 BB and 3 K Thursday at the Cleveland Indians.
- Lyles took a no-decision against Colorado June 2 with 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 2 K in Texas’s 6-3 road loss.
- vs. Rockies on the current roster (60 PA): 3.34 FIP with a .222 batting average, .281 wOBA, .333 xSLG, 21.7 K% and 86.0 mph exit velocity.
Rockies at Rangers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:55 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Rockies -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Rangers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies -1.5 (+120) | Rangers +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Prediction
Rangers 5, Rockies 2
Money line (ML)
“LEAN” to the RANGERS (+110) for a half unit because, simply put, Colorado shouldn’t be a road favorite against anyone. The Rockies have the fifth-worst cover rate as a road favorite at 22-24, since 2018.
Also, there’s an obvious “line freeze” in the betting market and this is a more profitable spot for Texas than Colorado.
More than 80% of the bets have been placed on the Rockies but the line hasn’t budged from the consensus opening number, according to Pregame.com, which indicates the oddsmakers are inviting more pro-Colorado money.
Furthermore, the Rangers are just 4-5 overall as a home underdog when Lyles starts but they have a plus-20.2% return on investment (ROI). Colorado is just 2-3 as a road favorite but two of those losses are with Gomber on the hill.
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS because I’m more fading the Rockies and don’t want to lay it with the Rangers +1.5 (-145) because Texas is only 26-25 ATS as a home underdog.
Texas’s 51.0% cover rate as a home underdog makes the Rangers’ run line a bad bet since the implied win probability by the -145 price is 59.18%.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET the UNDER 8.5 (-102) for 1 unit because there’s a “pros vs. joes” scenario in the betting market, Texas has the fourth-worst wRC+ at home and Colorado has by far the worst wRC+ on the road.
According to Pregame.com, 50% of the money bet is on the Under but roughly 85% of the bets placed are on the Over. Generally, it’s sharper to follow the money in sports betting especially when it’s counter to the public.
Oddsmakers have sided with the presumed “sharp” money since this total opened at a flat-9 before being steamed down to the current number.
For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]