The Colorado Rockies (20-22) and San Diego Padres (27-17) wrap up a three-game series Wednesday. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET from Petco Park. We analyze the Rockies-Padres betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Rockies at Padres: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Antonio Senzatela vs. RHP Zach Davies
Senzatela has pitched well this season, going 3-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 31 strikeouts through 48 2/3 innings.
- Senzatela hasn’t been credited with a win since winning each of his first three starts of the season.
- The Rockies have lost four of Senzatela’s last five starts, though he held the Los Angeles Dodgers to only two runs in his last outing.
Davies has been a stud for the Padres, starting the year 6-2 with 42 strikeouts and a stellar 2.23 ERA through 8 starts and 48 1/3 IP.
- Davies has yet to allow more than three runs in a single start, pitching at least five innings each time.
- He got the decision in each of his eight starts and has won four in a row with a 1.75 ERA.
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Rockies at Padres: Key injuries
Get the latest injury news here.
Rockies
- LF David Dahl (back) questionable
- RP Wade Davis (shoulder) out
- SS Brendan Rodgers (shoulder) out
Padres
- C Francisco Mejia (thumb) out
- CF Tommy Pham (hand) out
- C Luis Campusano (wrist) out
- 1B Eric Hosmer (finger) out
- RP Kirby Yates (elbow) out
Rockies at Padres: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Padres 6, Rockies 2
Moneyline (ML)
The PADRES (-183) are rolling right now behind some strong pitching, allowing three or fewer runs in seven of their last 10 games. They’ve held the Rockies (+155) to only five runs in the series so far, winning each game.
With their ace on the mound, that trend should continue with a fourth straight win Wednesday night. Take the PADRES (-183) to win outright.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Padres to win returns a profit of $5.50.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Padres are favored by 1.5 runs, as they were in the first two games of the series, too. They’ve been playing well lately, while the Rockies are only 4-6 in their last 10, including four losses in which they allowed at least 10 runs.
Take the PADRES -1.5 (+110).
Over/Under (O/U)
The Over/Under is 9 runs tonight, but after an offensive outburst with 19 total runs scored Tuesday, I expect a regression back to the mean. The Padres will still put up enough runs to win, but they’ll continue their trend of four of the last six games going Under.
Take the UNDER 9 (-110) in this matchup with Davies on the bump.
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