The Colorado Rockies (54-73) lace them up against the New York Mets (81-46) Saturday in the 3rd game of a 4-game set at Citi Field. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mets lead 4-1
The Rockies fell to the Mets 7-6 on a walk-off single by 1B Pete Alonso in the 9th inning Friday. Down 4-3, the Rockies rallied for a 6-4 lead in the 8th inning but the Mets tied it in the bottom of the frame and won it in the 9th. The Rockies are just 3-9 over the last 12 games and an ugly 18-41 on the road this season.
The Mets have cooled a bit, but they are 21-9 over the last 30 games. They are being pushed hard by the 2nd-place Atlanta Braves, who have pulled within 2 games in the NL East. Atlanta has a tough matchup in St. Louis this weekend, and New York needs to take advantage.
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Rockies at Mets projected starters
LHP Kyle Freeland vs. LHP David Peterson
Freeland (7-8, 4.93 ERA) makes his 25th start of 2022. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 137 IP.
- Last outing: Allowed 5 ER on 7 H, 3 BB and struck out 5 at home in 6 1/3 vs. San Francisco Sunday of a no-decision
- Loves pitching on the road: 3.62 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 vs. 6.10 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 5.6 K/9 at Coors this season
Peterson (6-3, 3.44 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 83 2/3 IP.
- Last 2 starts: 1-1, 2.70 ERA (10 IP, 3 ER), 11 H, 5 BB, 11 K
- Struggles at home with a 4.25 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.5 K/9, but 4-1, vs. 2.83 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 and 2-2 on the road
Rockies at Mets odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:13 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Rockies +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Mets -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+100) | Mets -1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Rockies at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 5, Rockies 4
Money line
The Mets are 9-3 against Colorado over the last 2 seasons. If there were a game the Mets could be vulnerable – it’s this one. I just don’t see them dropping a game in this series at home with the Braves on their tails in the standings.
Too much juice on game lines, but I don’t see this one getting out of hand early. Rockies +0.5 first 5 innings (+115) is tempting, but a safer one is ROCKIES +1.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (-150). This essentially means the Rockies need to stay within 1 run after 5 innings.
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Run line/Against the spread
The alternate line of ROCKIES +2.5 (-155) is a really good price. This would have hit in 4 of the 5 games between these teams this season. In his last Citi Field start, Freeland pitched 4 innings and allowed 1 ER in a no-decision last season.
Over/Under
The forecast calls for wind blowing out to left field at 8 mph. We have 2 starters that are less than imposing. These teams are 4th (Rockies) and 5th (Mets) in runs/9. Only 2 of their 5 regular-season meetings this year have had 9 or more runs. This could honestly go either way.
I would go Over 8.5 (-108) if I had to pick, but I’m out. PASS.
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