Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (43-51) try to rebound against the Milwaukee Brewers (51-43) Saturday in the 2nd game of a 4-game set at American Family Field. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0

The Rockies let one slip away Friday, eventually losing 6-5 in 13 innings. They took a 5-3 lead in the top of the 10th, but the Brewers tied it in the bottom half on RF Hunter Renfroe’s 2-out, 2-run homer and eventually won it in the 13th on 3B Luis Urias’ RBI single. The loss dropped the Rockies to 15-28 away from Coors Field.

This was a catalyst win for Milwaukee, which is just 4-6 in its last 10. The Brewers gained another game on the St. Louis Cardinals in the NL Central Division – sitting 1½ games back entering Saturday –  and this could set their sails for a soft spot in the upcoming schedule.

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Rockies at Brewers projected starters

RHP Jose Urena vs. RHP Brandon Woodruff

Urena (1-1, 2.05 ERA) makes his 4th start for the Rockies since joining them in mid-May after making 4 relief appearance for the Brewers before being released May 9. Between the 2 clubs, he has a 1.40 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 4.1 K/9 in 26 1/3 IP.

  • Since joining Rockies: 1-1, 1.45 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 3 ER) 1.34 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9, 4.3 K/9
  • 2022 at American Family Field: 0-0, 4.50 (4 IP, 2 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 3 H, 1 HR, 1 BB, 2 K in 2 relief outings
  • Hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER in a start this year

Woodruff (7-3, 3.93 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 66 1/3 IP.

  • A little shaky in last 2 starts: 3.86 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 9 H, 8 BB, 13 K
  • Career numbers against Rockies aren’t good: 0-1, 9.25 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 19 H, 3 HR, 6 BB, 10 K in 3 starts, but all were at Coors Field

Rockies at Brewers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:34 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rockies +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Brewers -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+110) | Brewers -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Rockies at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 3, Rockies 2

Money line

AVOID. I don’t expect this to be a high-scoring game. Urena has been solid since joining the Rockies. Woodruff is 4-0 with a 2.20 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 7 ER) and 11.9 K/9 at home, but the Brewers’ offense has been so inconsistent.

There’s no way I would bet -320 on any team and I can’t even advise taking Brewers (-175) on the first 5 innings. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Because we’re not riding with the Brewers’ offense, the Rockies look are enticing here. They’re 8-6 against the NL Central and 16-14 over the last 30. We’re pegging this to be a low-scoring game, which will benefit Colorado. TAKE ROCKIES +1.5 (+110) for a HALF UNIT.

Over/Under

As mentioned, I’m really feeling the Under here. The Over hit Friday, but only 6 runs were scored in the first 9 innings. The Rockies have hit 5 Unders in the last 10, and 4 of those were in Coors. There’s also a 48% chance of rain, which will likely close the roof in Milwaukee.

TAKE UNDER 8.5 (-115) for a HALF UNIT.

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