The Colorado Rockies (58-69) open a three-game set with the Los Angeles Dodgers (81-47) Friday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Rockies LHP Kyle Freeland (4-6, 4.25 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 84 2/3 IP.
- Allowed 4 ER on 11 H and 0 BB with 10 K over 13 IP across two second-half starts against the Dodgers.
- Allowed 4 ER just once over his last 11 starts while recording a 2.53 ERA. Lowered his ERA from 7.76 to 4.25 during that span.
The Dodgers have yet to name a starter for their bullpen day but it appears RHP Andre Jackson (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will handle the bulk of the action. He allowed 2 H and 4 BB with 5 K over 4 IP in his lone game this season.
- Pitched innings 2-5 Aug. 16 against the Pittsburgh Pirates in his first big league appearance.
- Is 5-2 with a 3.16 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 2.7 B/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 77 IP of Single-, Double- and Triple-A ball.
Rockies at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:10 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Rockies +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-107) | Dodgers -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
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Prediction
Los Angeles 4, Colorado 2
Money line (ML)
The Rockies’ struggles on the road have plagued them all season as they now possess sole ownership of the worst road record in the league at 15-47.
The stats back that record up. Colorado is last in wRC+, wOBA and OPS on the road. The Rockies are second-last in runs per game on the road with 3.19.
The Dodgers don’t hit lefties particularly well despite their 24-13 record against southpaw starters. I’m not particularly concerned for the outcome of this one but the odds are simply too steep to make it a wise bet.
PASS on the money line as a standalone wager.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
While we can expect a heavy dose of the Dodgers bullpen Friday that’s not such a bad thing. L.A.’s relief corps is a top-five unit in the second half of the season in ERA, FIP and xFIP.
The concern Friday is whether Los Angeles can get anything done against a left-handed pitcher but we’re going to side with the Dodgers producing enough runs to overcome Colorado’s dismal road output.
BET the DODGERS -1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U)
When considering the Dodgers’ general struggles against lefties, Freeland’s previous games vs. L.A. in the second half, and the Rockies’ poor offensive numbers on the road all signs point to the Under.
These two clubs have met six times at Dodger Stadium and four of those games resulted in 8 or fewer runs with Colorado averaging 3 runs per game.
I’ve got a LEAN to the UNDER 8.5 (-105)
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