The Colorado Rockies (13-9) finish a two-game series against the Houston Astros (12-10) at Houston’s Minute Maid Park Tuesday. First pitch is slated for 3:10 p.m. ET before the two sides reunite in Colorado for two more games Wednesday and Thursday. We analyze Tuesday’s Rockies-Astros MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Monday’s result: The Astros won 2-1.
Rockies at Astros: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Antonio Senzatela at RHP Zack Greinke
Senzatela’s 2020 stats: 4 starts, 3-0, 3.91 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 18:5 K:BB in 23 IP
- Last start: Aug. 12, No decision — 6 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 4 K vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- Senzatela holds a 5.40 ERA for his career at home, and 5.06 on the road. For this year’s small sample, he has a 3.27 ERA in two road outings, and 4.50 rate at Coors Field over two appearances.
- Senzatela has experienced a renaissance of sorts, though, developing a smoother windup; improving his conditioning; and fine-tuning his breaking pitches. He may be turning a corner; this will be a major test.
Greinke’s 2020 stats: 4 GS, 1-0, 2.53 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 18:4 K:BB in 21 1/3 IP
- Last start: Aug. 12, W — 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 7 K
- Career at Minute Maid Park: 3.46 ERA, 69 K, 15 BB in 83 1/3 IP
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Rockies at Astros: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Rockies
- RP Carlos Estevez (hand) questionable
- RP Wade Davis (shoulder) out
- RP Scott Oberg (back) out for season
- OF Ian Desmond (personal) opted out of 2020 season
Astros
- DH Yordan Alvarez (knee) questionable
- OF Michael Brantley (quadriceps) out
- RP Roberto Osuna (elbow) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Rockies at Astros: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Astros 5, Rockies 2
Greinke deserves ample confidence in Houston.
Moneyline (ML)
- Rockies (+175)
- Astros (-200)
As much as I believe in the changes made by Senzatela, Greinke is a tough draw in Houston. Still, the moneyline offers little to no shot at a productive bet. PASS.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
- Rockies +1.5 (-121)
- Astros -1.5 (+100)
The Astros are closer to 100 than they were Monday, but Greinke being on the mound is a fine time to seize any double-up opportunity for his squad. BET ASTROS -1.5 (+100).
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Astros’ run line would yield a profit of $10 if they win by 2 or more runs.
Over/Under (O/U)
- Over 9 (-110)
- Under 9 (-110)
I don’t like either equally juiced part of the Over/Under. PASS.
As for alternatives, the UNDER 7.5 (+140) has some allure, as I predicted a total of seven runs.
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