The Colorado Rockies (37-50) hope to avoid being swept in their three-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (25-63) Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Chi Chi Gonzalez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 2-5 with a 5.52 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 4.9 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 in 76 2/3IP over 12 starts and four relief appearances.
The Rockies have lost seven of his last eight starts but he has pitched well as of late. The righty has an ERA of 2.25 over 12 innings pitched over his last two outings. He allowed 4 runs in 4 2/3 innings May 2 in an 8-4 road loss to the Diamondbacks.
RHP Jake Faria is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 0-0 with a 5.25 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 11 K and 3 BB in 12 IP over two starts and three relief appearances.
Faria pitched only 4 innings in each of his first two starts this season. He allowed 4 runs on 7 hits and walked a pair in his last appearance Saturday against the San Francisco Giants.
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Rockies at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rockies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Diamondbacks -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-165) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Diamondbacks 7, Rockies 5
Money line (ML)
The Rockies are 6-33 away from home after dropping the first two games of the series, which is the worst road record in the league. They have dropped 10 of their last 11 games away from Coors Field. Colorado is 3-9 when Gonzalez starts and is 1-6 in his road starts.
The Diamondbacks have won consecutive games for the first time since May 10-11, and have not won three in a row since April 25-27. Faria has not pitched in a Diamondbacks win this season either as a starter or a reliever.
As crazy as it sounds, because of the Rockies’ inability to get things going on the road, take the DIAMONDBACKS (-135).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
No one has a lower cover percentage on the road than the Rockies at 33.3%. They have covered the spread in only one of their last five games, and four of their last six losses have been by at least two runs.
The Diamondbacks, despite being only 15-27 at home, are 23-19 ATS at Chase Field. They are 7-4 ATS as home favorites and have covered the spread in four of the six games against the Rockies there this season.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+140).
Over/Under (O/U)
61.0% of the games at Chase Field have gone Over the projected total.
The series opener went Under the projected total and Wednesday night’s game hit the Over.
Only one of the Rockies’ last 10 games has gone Over the projected total. Seven of the last 12 for the Diamondbacks have gone Over.
Take OVER 9.5 (-115).
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