The Colorado Rockies (10-17) and Arizona Diamondbacks (14-13) play the finale of a four-game set Sunday with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Chi Chi Gonzalez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 over 20 IP through three starts and two relief appearances.
Gonzalez has allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his three starts this season. He surrendered three runs on seven hits with no walks across five innings in a no-decision at the San Francisco Giants Tuesday.
RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 2-2 with a 6.33 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 through 27 IP across five starts.
Kelly had his best outing of the season in his most recent start. He allowed just one earned run on four hits and two walks with five strikeouts across six innings against the San Diego Padres on Tuesday for his first quality start of the season.
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Rockies at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:07 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rockies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Diamondbacks -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-155) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Rockies 8, Diamondbacks 6
Money line (ML)
The ROCKIES (+125) are a sharp play on the road as short underdogs. Kelly looked pretty good in his most recent showing against San Diego, but I am going to keep fading him until he can continue to piece together at least two or three quality wins in a row. He has just been too hittable prior to Tuesday’s start.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The ROCKIES +1.5 (-155) are worth a look if you are not quite feeling Colorado will win, don’t trust Gonzalez or think the Diamondbacks will pull it out. Again, I am siding with Colorado because I just haven’t seen enough from Kelly to trust Arizona when he is on the bump.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 8.5 (-120) is the best play on the board in this one. The Over is 11-5 in the past 16 for Colorado in the fourth game of a series, while the Over has cashed in five of the past six meetings in Arizona, including Saturday’s crazy 14-6 Colorado victory.
With Gonzalez and Kelly, two rather mediocre pitchers, on the hill for their respective teams, we could see a lot of fireworks in this finale as well.
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