We’ve had a handful of games canceled due to COVID-19, unfortunately, but there is still plenty of exciting college football action on the schedule for the third Saturday in November. Let’s uncover some of that value with three key Week 12 college football underdog predictions.
College football underdog predictions: Week 12
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:45 a.m. ET.
Indiana +20.5 (-110) at Ohio State
I definitely do not like the upstart Hoosiers to go into the Horseshoe and win outright, but the disrespect making IU a near three-touchdown underdog is a slap in the face. Take advantage. You know the Hoosiers are using it as extra motivation in this huge measuring stick game for the program.
Indiana, which has long been a conference doormat and punching bag for its neighbors to the East, ranks 10th in the Amway Coaches Poll after a 4-0 straight up and against the spread start.
Yes, the Buckeyes are the Buckeyes, and they’re playing well out of the gate. They had an unexpected bye last week as their game at Maryland was canceled due to COVID-19. This Hoosiers team, led by QB Michael Penix Jr., is putting up 267.5 passing yards per game and 33.8 points per game. The IU defense has been stout, too, yielding just 19.3 PPG. This game is going to be a lot closer than many think.
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Kansas State +11 (-110) at Iowa State
K-State put up a tremendous fight last week as a 14-point underdog, dropping a 20-18 heartbreaker against visiting Oklahoma State. The last time the Wildcats were 11-point underdogs, they won 21-14 at TCU (Oct. 10). The previous time they were double-digit dogs, they won 38-35 at Oklahoma (Sept. 26) as 28-point underdogs.
As a double-digit underdog, Kansas State is 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS this season. In addition, the Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in their last eight intra-conference games, too, while cashing in five of their past six on the road.
For Iowa State, it is a dismal 0-4 ATS in the past four against winning teams, while going just 2-6 ATS across the past eight at Jack Trice. The Cyclones are also just 2-7-1 ATS in their past 10 as favorites.
If those trends don’t have you excited enough for a K-State play, the underdog is also 6-0 ATS in the previous six meetings in this series.
Arizona +11.5 (-110) at Washington
The Wildcats gave USC all it could handle last week, eventually falling 34-30 to the Trojans in Tucson. While the loss was a disappointment for the Wildcats, they saw QB Grant Gunnell throw for 286 yards and three touchdowns, while RB Gary Brightwell shone with 112 yards on the ground to give the Wildcats tremendous balance.
The Huskies got off to a quick start last week, scoring 24 points in the first half; however, the offensive spigot was turned off in the final 30 minutes, and they outscored the visiting Oregon State Beavers just 3-0 for a rough Under result. More importantly, their lack of offense in the second half meant an unsatisfying 27-21 win at home as 13.5-point favorites.
Backing the Wildcats goes against the trends, as they are just 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings with the Huskies, and 0-4 ATS in the past four trips to Seattle. Their balanced offense should be able to crack the D of UW.
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