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The No. 7 Ohio State Buckeyes (11-2) and No. 1 Oregon Ducks (13-0) meet Wednesday in Pasadena, for a College Football Playoff quarterfinal game. Kickoff from the Rose Bowl is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Ohio State vs. Oregon odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
This is the highly-anticipated rematch we thought we might see in the Big Ten Championship Game until Ohio State wet the bed in the regular-season finale against Michigan at home, losing 13-10.
The Buckeyes rebounded rather nicely, as the No. 8 seed buried No. 9 seed Tennessee in a first-round matchup in Columbus Dec. 21, winning 42-17 to easily cover as 7-point favorites with the Over (47) cashing.
Now, will it be like Major League Baseball, where it seems the team with a long rest on a bye is rather rusty, while the lower seed has momentum? We’ll find out quickly.
Oregon topped Ohio State in Eugene Oct. 12, winning 32-31 in a great game. The Buckeyes led 31-29 until PK Atticus Sappington booted through the game-winning field goal with 1:47 left. The Buckeyes still had a chance, and were moving down the field, but QB Will Howard mismanaged the clock a bit, running out of time.
Ohio State went for 141 rushing yards and 326 yards through the air, while Oregon had 155 yards on ground with 341 passing yards. The Buckeyes had 22 first downs to just 18 for the Ducks, but Ohio State also racked up 8 penalties, something it cannot repeat.
Ohio State is 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in the past 6 games, with the Under going 5-2 in the past 7 outings. However, the Over did hit in the 1-point loss to the Ducks.
Oregon topped Penn State 45-37 in the Big Ten title game, covering a 3-point spread, and a late Nittany Lions score made that look closer than it was. The Over has hit in Oregon’s past 2 games, while it is on a 6-2 ATS roll in the past 8 outings.
Rankings – US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Rose Bowl: Ohio State vs. Oregon odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 6:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Ohio State -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Oregon +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread: Ohio State -2.5 (-115) | Oregon +2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Ohio State vs. Oregon picks and predictions
Prediction
Ohio State 36, Oregon 30
Moneyline
OHIO STATE (-140) is worth a look if you’re more on the conservative side, and it isn’t a terrible idea just to take it straight up to toss into a multi-leg parlay.
Seriously, it very well could come down to a 1- or 2-point game (again), and a potential 2-point conversion for the tie or win late in regulation. The first game was decided by a single point, so it isn’t terrible to be on the safe side.
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Against the spread
OHIO STATE -2.5 (-115) is the play, as the Buckeyes roll into Pasadena with a new lease on life. Things were glum in C-Bus after the Buckeyes stunk up the joint against rival Michigan in the finale despite entering as a 20-point favorites. However, the Buckeyes reinvigorated their sometimes fickle fanbase with a thrashing of Tennessee in the CFP opener.
It might raise some eyebrows that the only unbeaten team in FBS (Oregon) is an underdog. However, the Ducks have had some near-misses, including against Ohio State as well as against the Boise State Broncos and Wisconsin Badgers. This team can be had.
Over/Under
OVER 55.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board. Oh, Nelly!
We’re going to have some points in the granddaddy of them all, which would make the late Keith Jackson proud. This isn’t your typical Big Ten football, where it’s 3 yards and a cloud of dust. These teams can roll up the passing yards and points like a video game.
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