College Football Playoff, Bowl Game First Thought Predictions, Analysis For All 44

Bowl game and College Football Playoff first predictions and quick initial analysis on all the matchups

Myrtle Beach Bowl

Monday, December 20
ESPN, 2:30 pm
Brooks Stadium, Conway, SC
Tulsa vs Old Dominion 

Knee-Jerk Instant Analysis: This is a fun Old Dominion team that roared through the second half of the season to make this a wonderful first season – after not being able to give it a go in 2020 – under head coach Ricky Rahne. Tulsa’s offense will be decent enough to get out with a tough win.

No Research Bowl Prediction: Tulsa 24, Old Dominion 17
Early Bowl Line Guess: Tulsa -5.5
Actual Line: Tulsa -7.5

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

Tuesday, December 21
ESPN, 3:30 pm
Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Kent State vs Wyoming 

Knee-Jerk Instant Analysis: Talk about your contrast in styles. Kent State will want to go 100 miles per hour, Wyoming would like to slow this down to a dead stop. The Cowboy running game will follow the Northern Illinois blueprint from the MAC Championship and dominate the clock to get this done in the Boise chill.

No Research Bowl Prediction: Wyoming 34, Kent State 30
Early Bowl Line Guess: Wyoming -4.5
Actual Line: Wyoming -3.5

Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl

Tuesday, December 21
ESPN, 7:30 pm
Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX
UTSA vs San Diego State 

Knee-Jerk Instant Analysis: UTSA was thought to be playing BYU in the Independence Bowl, but UAB got the call there so Roadrunner fans could show up in Frisco. Don’t expect a whole lot of points, and watch for a totally different – and healthy – San Diego State team after missing 20 players in the Mountain West Championship.

No Research Bowl Prediction: San Diego State 26, UTSA 20
Early Bowl Line Guess: UTSA -4.5
Actual Line: UTSA -2.5

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

Wednesday, December 22
ESPN, 7:30 pm
Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
Missouri vs Army 

Knee-Jerk Instant Analysis: In theory, the Power Five program should have the talent and athleticism to go along with the extra time to be able to figure out the Army offense, but it never works out like that. Army will run wild and keep this close to the very end.

No Research Bowl Prediction: Army 28, Missouri 26
Early Bowl Line Guess: Missouri -3.5
Actual Line: Army -3.5

Frisco Bowl Classic

Thursday, December 23
ESPN, 3:30 pm
Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX
Miami University vs North Texas

Knee-Jerk Instant Analysis: Quietly hot over the second half of the season, this isn’t your normal North Texas team – it’s got a defense now. Miami should be able to come up with a good offensive balance to make this one of the under-the-radar better games of the bunch.

No Research Bowl Prediction: Miami University 27, North Texas 24
Early Bowl Line Guess: North Texas -2
Actual Line: Miami University -4

Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl

Thursday, December 23
ESPN, 7:00 pm
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
UCF vs Florida 

Knee-Jerk Instant Analysis: The Billy Napier era won’t get rolling quite yet at Florida – interim head man Greg Knox is expected to coach through the bowl game. The biggest key will be the personnel – will Florida have all the parts? UCF will certainly bring the fire, and the fan bases will have a whole lot of fun in Tampa.

No Research Bowl Prediction: Florida 31, UCF 20
Early Bowl Line Guess: Florida -7.5
Actual Line: Florida -6.5

EasyPost Hawaii Bowl

Friday, December 24
ESPN, 8:00 pm
Clarence TC Ching Complex, Honolulu, HI
Memphis vs Hawaii  

Knee-Jerk Instant Analysis: It’s not going to have the feel of the old Aloha Stadium, but it’s Hawaii – Memphis will have fun. Will it bring the offense after sputtering for way too long late in the season? Hawaii will be tough at home – it’ll be a business-like game for Todd Graham’s club with a strong day from the defense.

No Research Bowl Prediction: Hawaii 30, Memphis 23
Early Bowl Line Guess: Memphis -5
Actual Line: Memphis -3.5

Camellia Bowl

Saturday, December 25
ESPN, 2:30 pm
Cramton Bowl, Montgomery, AL
Ball State vs Georgia State 

Knee-Jerk Instant Analysis: Get past the lack of brand names and this should be an interesting way to get away from your family for a bit on Christmas Day. Ball State isn’t going to crank up a whole lot of offense, but it’s a veteran team going against a rock-solid Georgia State club that was terrific over the second half of the year.

No Research Bowl Prediction: Georgia State 26, Ball State 20
Early Bowl Line Guess: Georgia State -4.5
Actual Line: Georgia State -3.5

2021-2022 Bowl First Thoughts 
Dec 17-18: Bahamas, Cure, Boca Raton
New Mexico, Indy, LendingTree, LA
Dec 27-28: Quick Lane, Military, Birm
SERVPRO, Liberty, Holiday, Guar Rate
Dec 29-30: Fenway, Pinstripe, Cheez-It
Alamo, Mayo, Music City, Peach, Vegas
Dec 31-Jan 4 Gator, Sun, Arizona, Texas
NY6 Fiesta, Citrus, Rose, Sugar
CFP Cotton, Orange | CFP NC
Bowl Schedule, Game Times

NEXT: Bowl Game First Thought Predictions, Analysis: December 27-28 Games