The Cleveland Indians (26-21) and Detroit Tigers (19-30) meet Thursday with a 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Shane Bieber is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. Bieber is 4-3 with a 3.32 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 13.6 K/9, and 3.2 BB/9 in 65 IP over 10 starts.
The 26-year-old has failed to go 6 innings in his last 2 starts, and he owns a 4.40 ERA over his last 5 outings, but that ERA has been ballooned by a very high batting average on balls in play; Bieber’s base skills have been solid throughout. Current Detroit bats own a whiff-heavy .471 OPS against him.
LHP Matthew Boyd is the projected starter for the Tigers. He is 2-5 with a 3.08 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 7.2 K/9, and 2.2 BB/9 in 52 2/3 IP over 9 starts.
Boyd has been roughed up over his last 2 starts, allowing 18 base runners and 9 ER in 11 IP, but like Bieber much of that trouble has been BABIP related. Current Cleveland batters own a .677 OPS against the southpaw.
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Indians at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Indians -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Tigers +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Against the spread/ATS: Indians -1.5 (-105) | Tigers +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Indians 4, Tigers 3
Money line (ML)
The Tigers defeated the Indians 1-0 on Wednesday to snap a four-game losing streak.
As with yesterday’s recommendation the lean here centers around a general fade of the Indians who are several games over .500 despite scoring just under 4.0 runs per game and yielding a similar figure. But, with cooled-off weather and a get-away day game, there is some Under pull to this and that makes the run line a better option. PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
BACK DETROIT +1.5 (-115). Cleveland scuffles against lefty pitching, and Boyd has logged some gems at home this season (2.20 ERA, 0.92 WHIP in 5 starts at Comerica Park).
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS: hold out for an Under 7.5 play if the number floats that way a bit more. There is a bit of Over play to Cleveland’s offense especially, but the cooled-off weather with two good starters going on a day game after a night game makes for decent value on any total under 7.5.
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