Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (60-53) finish their 6-game road trip against the Toronto Blue Jays (61-51) Sunday in the finale game of a 3-game set at Rogers Centre. First pitch is set for 1:37 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians lead 4-2

The Guardians took Game 1 Friday 8-0 behind a dominant pitching effort by RHP Cal Quantrill. They couldn’t maintain the momentum Saturday as the Blue Jays won 2-1. Cleveland is 7-3 in its last 10 and sits in 1st place in the AL Central.

The Blue Jays have lost 5 of 7 and are 2nd in the AL East, 10 games behind the New York Yankees. The Jays are very good at home with a 35-22 mark. Leading the charge is 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. with a 19-game hitting streak.

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Guardians at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Bieber (7-6, 3.21 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 131 2/3 IP.

  • Toronto gave him fits in a loss May 7 as he allowed 7 ER on 8 H and 3 BB with no K in 3 1/3 IP
  • He’s 2-1 with a 4.38 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 9.1 K/9 in 4 games against Toronto in his career

Gausman (8-8, 2.91 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 117 2/3 IP.

  • Held the Guardians to 1 ER on 6 H and 1 BB while fanning 5 in 6 1/3 IP in the May 7 win
  • He’s 3-3 with a 2.27 ERA in 6 games (5 starts) against Cleveland in his career with a 12.1 K/9 and 0.99 WHIP against them
  • Hasn’t allowed a run in 14 IP over his last 2 starts

Guardians at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:04 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-180) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Guardians at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Guardians 2

Money line

Toronto’s bats come alive Sunday as they’ll work the count to get into the bullpen for some separation. Toronto is 4-1 against Cleveland in the last 5 games at home. The Jays are 5th in baseball with 4.81 runs per game but have just scored 3.6 over the last 10. Take the BLUE JAYS (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread

Toronto’s last 2 wins have been by 1 run, but the 10 wins previously were by 2 or more. With Gausman pitching so well, and with good history against Cleveland, he’s the X-factor Sunday as Toronto tries to right itself offensively. Take the BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+145) for a HALF UNIT.

Over/Under

There are a lot of Under trends in this matchup. The Under is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings in Toronto. The Under is 7-0 in the Blue Jays’ last 7 home games. The Under is 6-0-1 in the Guardians’ last 7 overall. It’s 4-0 in the Guardians’ last 4 against teams with a winning record. You get the point. Take the UNDER 7.5 (-102).

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