The Cleveland Guardians (7-5) and New York Yankees (7-6) clash in a three-game series at Yankee Stadium this weekend. Friday’s opener is set for a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: New York took four of seven games from Cleveland in 2021, but Cleveland outscored the Yanks 36-28.
Cleveland faltered after a decent start last season and finished 2 games under-.500 (80-82). The Guardians have been streaky in the early going in 2022: they have put together a four-game and a three-game win streak that sandwich a three-game losing skid.
The Yankees have been all-pitching and no offense so far. New York’s AL entry ranks third in MLB with a 2.58 ERA, but the Yanks rank 20th in OPS (.643).
Guardians at Yankees: Projected starters
RHP Eli Morgan vs. RHP Jameson Taillon
Morgan (1-0, 4.50 ERA) is making his first start of the season after three relief appearances. He has allowed 3 ER on 5 H with 6 K across 6 IP.
- Logged a 5.34 ERA and 1.25 WHIP across 89 1/3 innings across 18 starts in 2021.
- Allowed just 1 run through 6 innings on the road against the Yankees in his lone start against them last season on Sept. 19.
Taillon (0-1, 3.72 ERA) is making his third start. He has given up 4 ER on 8 H and 1 BB with 8 K through 9 2/3 IP.
- Posted a 4.30 ERA across 144 1/3 IP in 2021 and just a 3.46 ERA after June 18.
- Allowed 2 ER in 4 2/3 IP at the Baltimore Orioles Saturday in his last start.
Guardians at Yankees odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Guardians +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Yankees -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-130) | Yankees -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)
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Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Guardians 3
Money line
PASS: this is a wide gulf in pricing and too much to overcome.
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Run line/Against the spread
Let’s start with the premise that this is not an attractively priced game. However, for a partial-unit play, one might consider NEW YORK -1.5 (+105).
The Cleveland offense is operating with a hefty .331 batting average on balls in play (and it has benefited from a .240 BABIP defensively).
The Yankee offense has underplayed its talent level so far. A high-leverage OPS of .591 has come alongside a .210 BABIP.
Over/Under
BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-105).
The Over is 11-4 in the last 15 Cleveland-New York meetings. With a fade-Cleveland pitching angle mixing with a play-the-Yanks’ batting angle, this might be a weekend of Over plays at warming Yankee Stadium.
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