Cleveland Guardians at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cleveland Guardians at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (7-11) and Los Angeles Angels (12-7) close out their 4-game series Thursday at 4:07 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Los Angeles leads 3-0 and has outscored Cleveland 16-6.

Cleveland was swept in New York last weekend, and with 3 straight losses to L.A. in this series, has now lost 6 in a row. An offense that bolted quickly from the gate with favorable ball-in-play rates has sputtered over the losing skid. The Guardians have scored 2.17 runs per game on a .558 OPS in the 6 straight losses.

Los Angeles has come on strong with the bats of late. They are 11-4, averaging 5.67 runs per game with a .806 OPS in their last 15 games.

Guardians at Angels projected starters

RHP Cal Quantrill vs. LHP Reid Detmers

Quantrill (1-0, 3.94 ERA) is lined up for start No. 4 this season. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 3.4 K/9 through 16 IP.

  • Has walked 6 batters over 11 IP in his last 2 starts.
  • Clocked a 2.89 ERA in 149 2/3 IP last season.
  • Faced Los Angeles once last season (Aug. 22) and tossed 7 shutout frames, allowing just 2 hits and 2 BB while striking out 9.

Detmers (0-1, 6.57 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 12 1/3 IP.

  • Roughed up by Cleveland in a start last Aug. 21: 3R on 10 base runners in 3 2/3 IP.
  • Notched a 7.40 ERA in 20 2/3 IP in 2021.

Guardians at Angels odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Guardians +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Angels -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-165) | Angels -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Guardians at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 6, Guardians 4

Money line

Quantrill has skated by on a .220 batting average on balls in play so far. The Angels are a lean, but the best value — even with the added risk of seeking a multi-run win — can be found on the run line. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Three games into this series, the Los Angeles bullpen is still in decent shape. Quantrill is pretty solidly in the fade-for-a-while category. Detmers is a prospect that had a good spring and one that figures to have upside not showing in his surface numbers.

The fade-Cleveland’s-offense luster has mostly worn off, but there is just enough leverage in the ANGELS -1.5 (+133) line to warrant a partial-unit play.

Over/Under

The road-weary Guardians finally cobbled together some offense Wednesday night. They had 5R and 11H in the loss.

With this pitching match-up and a (forecasted) breeze-blowing-out day game, an evenly priced Over 8.5 would be worth a play Thursday. PASS on this tag, but keep an eye on the line.

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