The Cleveland Guardians (7-10) and Los Angeles Angels (11-7) close out their 3-game series Wednesday at 9:38 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Los Angeles leads 2-0 and has outscored Cleveland 7-1.
Cleveland was swept in New York last weekend and has now lost 5 in a row. An offense that bolted quickly from the gate with favorable ball-in-play rates has sputtered over the losing skid. The Guardians have scored 1.60 runs per game on a .486 OPS in the 5 straight losses.
Los Angeles has come on strong with the bats of late. They are 10-4, averaging 5.43 runs per game with a .783 OPS in their last 14 games.
Guardians at Angels projected starters
RHP Zach Plesac vs. RHP Shohei Ohtani
Plesac (1-1, 1.53 ERA) is lined up for his fourth start of 2022. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9, and 5.1 K/9 in 17 2/3 IP.
- Went 6 2/3 IP, allowing 2R (1 ER) Thursday against the Chicago White Sox in his last start.
- Faced Los Angeles once last season (May 18) and allowed 5 ER in 7 IP.
Ohtani (1-2, 4.40 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9, and 16.3 K/9 in 14 1/3 IP.
- Registered a 3.18 ERA in 130 1/3 IP — along with a .965 OPS at the plate — in his AL MVP season a year ago.
- Logged a clunker April 14 at Texas, but bounced back with 6 shutout innings (and 12 K) April 20 at Houston.
Guardians at Angels odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:22 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Guardians +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Angels -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-125) | Angels -1.5 (+102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Guardians at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Angels 4, Guardians 2
Money line
Plesac has been barreled up a bit too often in the early going. The hard contact belies a ball-in-play-rate-aided 1.53 ERA. These Angeles got to Plesac for 3 HR in a game last May. They own a .776 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season.
Ohtani has pitched around issues with his batting average on balls in play (.357) and low rate for stranding runners (58.8%).
The Angels at -200 or better is a decent play. AVOID the current tag.
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Run line/Against the spread
LOS ANGELES -1.5 (+102) is a small-to-moderate-confidence play.
Over/Under
The series overall has an Under lean. TAB THE UNDER 7.5 (-112) as being worth a look here. But perhaps only a partial-unit play is warranted, because there is some fade-the-Cleveland-starter/L.A. bullpen tilt at play.
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