Cleveland Guardians at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Guardians at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (7-8) and Los Angeles Angels (9-7) meet Monday at 9:38 p.m. ET to open a 3-game series at Angel Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: first meeting. Cleveland won last year’s series, 5-1, outscoring L.A. 30-16.

Cleveland is coming off being swept by the Yankees in New York over the weekend. In fact, each of the Guardians’ last 4 series has ended in a sweep, two on the winning side and two on the losing side.

Los Angeles dropped 2 of 3 to the Baltimore Orioles over the weekend. The Angels, though, have come on strong with the bats of late. They are 8-4, averaging 5.75 runs per game with a .785 OPS over their last dozen games.

Guardians at Angels projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. RHP Michael Lorenzen

Bieber (1-0, 2.25 ERA) is tabbed for his fourth start of the season. He has a 0.69 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9, and 9.0 K/9 through 16 IP.

  • Allowed just 1R in 6 IP in his last start (Wednesday vs. White Sox).
  • Owns a 2.89 ERA over his last 65 games.
  • Current Angels bats own a small-sample .551 OPS against him.

Lorenzen (1-1, 4.82 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 0.86 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9, and 8.7 K/9 through 9 1/3 IP.

  • Scuffled in an April 18 start at Houston (3 1/3 IP, 4R) after 2 solid starts to open the season.
  • Returning to a starter’s role this season after being used primarily in relief from 2016-21 (for the Cincinnati Reds).

Guardians at Angels odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Guardians +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Angels -120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+165) | Angels +1.5 (-205)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Guardians at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Angels 3

Money line

Consider a line watch here. Cleveland is a solid team that has had a wonky start. Bieber gives the Guardians much the better hurler in the pitching match-up. The Cleveland bullpen is in good shape, and its offense has been sharp against right-handed pitching (.789 OPS).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The money line and Under plays are more likable for this one.

Over/Under

In a season of Unders so far, the Guardians (Over 9-6) and Angels (Over 8-7-1) stand out as two rare cases with Over hitting at a solid clip. But peg this one to swing back the other way.

Both bullpens have pitched a bit better than what shows in earned-run averages. With Bieber on the bump, and the visitors arriving after a transcontinental flight, TAKE THE UNDER 7.5 (-102).

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