The Cleveland Guardians (82-67) and Chicago White Sox (76-73) close out a 3-game AL Central series Wednesday. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Cleveland leads 11-7
Cleveland has taken the first 2 games of this series, and the Guardians are 12-2 in their last 14. Cleveland has scored 18 runs in this series and 29 runs in its last 3 games.
The White Sox have been up and down in the 2nd half. Chicago was within a game-and-a-half of Cleveland as recently as 12 days ago. But with the Guardians winning the first 2 games of this set, the ChiSox now find themselves 6 games back in the AL Central race and 5 1/2 back in the AL wild-card hunt.
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Guardians at White Sox projected starters
RHP Shane Bieber vs. RHP Johnny Cueto
Bieber (11-8, 2.83 ERA) is tabbed for his 29th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 181 1/3 IP.
- Has a 1.81 ERA over his last 7 starts
- Owns a 2.67 ERA across his last 5 starts against the White Sox
Cueto (7-8, 3.09 ERA) owns a 1.20 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 139 2/3 IP across 22 games (21 starts).
- Pitched 8 2/3 shutout innings against Cleveland Aug. 20
- Owns a 6.00 ERA, 1.43 WHIP across his last 4 starts
Guardians at White Sox odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:33 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Guardians -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | White Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+120) | White Sox +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)
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Guardians at White Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 4, White Sox 3
Money line
Bieber has been ultra sharp of late. Cueto has been running into too many bats over recent turns. His overall quality-of-contact numbers may not even support an ERA under 4.00, let alone one near 3.00.
Cleveland has the better bullpen, and over the last several weeks its been a pen getting a slew of ground balls while holding hard contact in check.
TAKE CLEVELAND (-145). Make it a partial-unit play unless a price of -140 or better avails itself.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS. Both games have played a lot of close games recently.
Over/Under
Mixed signals here: Cool night, wind out. Bieber on a roll, Cueto likely too far over his skis. The Under 7.5 is a slight lean but an overly expensive proposition.
PASS.
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