The Cleveland Guardians (48-47) and Boston Red Sox (49-48) continue a 4-game series at Fenway Park. Tuesday’s first pitch is set for a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Boston leads 4-0 and has outscored Cleveland 21-9.
Cleveland had a nifty 2.63 ERA in 9 games from July 11-23, but the Guardians have logged a 5.25 ERA in losing 3 straight games since. Over the last 2 years, Cleveland is just 2-8 against the BoSox.
The Red Sox had been struggling before Monday’s 3-1 win. Boston had lost 5 straight and was just 6-17 since June 27.
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Guardians at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Bryan Shaw vs. RHP Josh Winckowski
Shaw (4-2, 5.29 ERA) is tabbed for his 1st career start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 34 IP in 39 games.
- The 12-year veteran has logged 732 career games, all out of the bullpen.
- Last pitched on Saturday, throwing 32 pitches.
- Will likely serve in an opener role. Figures to be backed up by LHP Kirk McCarty, a former Cleveland farmhand recently waived by the Baltimore Orioles.
Winckowski (3-4, 4.38 ERA) owns a 1.43 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 37 IP in 7 starts.
- Added to the COVID-19 list July 23 but is expected to make Tuesday’s start against Cleveland.
- The rookie right-hander has struggled against lefty bats (.820 OPS allowed), and that makes for a potential problem against a Guardians team that owns an .854 OPS vs. righties (2nd in MLB).
Guardians at Red Sox odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:51 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Guardians +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Red Sox -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-150) | Red Sox -1.5 (+122)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
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Guardians at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 5, Guardians 3
Money line
The Sox are a lean, but consider the Run Line to have better leverage. PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread
Boston has had Cleveland’s number the last 2 seasons. The Guardians have had a couple of road-trip slumps this year, and their pitching Tuesday figures to be suspect.
The Red Sox have been just fine when not facing foes from the AL East.
BACK BOSTON -1.5 (+125).
Over/Under
The analytics peg both offenses as being too far over their skis. The Under figures to be a near-automatic lean for this whole series. The Under hit Monday, and the UNDER 10.5 (-122) is a workable play in Game 2.
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