Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders odds, picks and predictions

The Cleveland Browns (6-9) and the Washington Commanders (7-7-1) meet for a Week 17 matchup Sunday. Kickoff from FedEx Field is set for 1 p.m. (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Browns vs. Commanders odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Browns were eliminated from the playoff picture with a 17-10 home loss as 3-point favorites last week against the New Orleans Saints. The Cleveland defense has been much better lately, allowing 14.8 points per game (PPG) in the past 5 outings, but the offense has managed just 11.0 PPG in the previous 3 contests.

The Commanders are still alive for a playoff berth, but losses in their previous 2 games — 37-20 as 6.5-point underdogs at the San Francisco 49ers and 20-12 as 4.5-point home favorites vs. the New York Giants — have them on life support.

QB Taylor Heinicke was benched in last week’s loss to the 49ers, and QB Carson Wentz was tabbed by head coach Ron Rivera to start in Week 17.

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Browns at Commanders odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 5:53 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Browns +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Commanders -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Browns +2 (-110) | Commanders -2 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -111 | U: -109)

Browns at Commanders key injuries

Browns

DL Jadeveon Clowney (concussion) questionable

Commanders

OL Saahdiq Charles (concussion) out
S Kamren Curl (ankle) questionable
RB Antonio Gibson (foot, knee) out
CB Benjamin St-Juste (ankle) questionable
DL James Smith-Williams (concussion) out

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Browns at Commanders picks and predictions

Prediction

Commanders 23, Browns 16

Moneyline

The COMMANDERS (-130) are a strong play on their home field as Washington looks to keep its playoff aspirations alive.

The Browns will have RB Nick Chubb available for the final 2 games, arguably their best offensive player, as he confirmed he plans to play despite the team being eliminated. Still, it remains to be seen how interested the rest of the team will be following its elimination from the playoff chase.

Washington has a lot at stake, Cleveland doesn’t. Advantage Commanders, especially at home.

Against the spread

Take the COMMANDERS -2 (-110), especially before the line potentially rises to a flat 3, or worse, 3 and a hook.

The Browns are 1-5 ATS in the past 6 games against teams with a losing record, including last week vs. the Saints, while going 3-7 ATS in the past 10 road games against teams with a losing home record. On the flip side, the Commanders have cashed in 4 straight against losing teams.

Over/Under

UNDER 40.5 (-109) is the lean.

The Browns have really struggled on offense lately, totaling 33 points across the past 3 games. The good news is that the defense has been much better. The Under is 5-0 in the past 5 games for Cleveland after cashing the Over at a 7-2-1 clip in the first 10 games.

For the Commanders, the Under is 17-5 in the past 22 home games, while cashing at a 9-3-1 clip in the past 13 games overall. The Under is also 4-0 in the past 4 against losing teams, too.

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