Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars Week 11 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Cleveland Browns (7-3) visit the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-9) for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at TIAA Bank Stadium. Below, we preview the Browns-Jaguars betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Browns at Jaguars: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:27 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Browns -334 (bet $334 to win $100) | Jaguars +265 (bet $100 to win $265)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Browns -7 (-110) | Jaguars +7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Browns at Jaguars: Game notes

  • For a second road game in a row, the Browns are favored. They failed to cover a 4.5-point number at the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 7, although they came away with a 37-34 win. Cleveland is 1-0 ATS as a favorite of a touchdown or more, winning 34-20 against the Washington Football Team in Week 3 and covering the 7.5-point number.
  • These teams haven’t met since Nov. 19, 2017, with the Jaguars posting a 19-7 road victory at the Browns as 7.5-point road favorites and the Under (37) easily connecting.
  • The Browns rank No. 3 in the NFL with 156.8 rushing yards per game, while posting 23.8 points per outing to rank 19th. Defensively they are eighth with 105.0 YPG allowed on the ground, and 19th with 26.1 PPG allowed.
  • The Browns posted a 22-17 win over the Philadelphia Eagles in rainy Cleveland last week, while the Jaguars were smoked 27-3 on their home field against the unbeaten Pittsburgh Steelers. Jacksonville is 2-1 ATS across the past three as an underdog of seven or more points.
  • Jacksonville ranks 29th in the NFL with just 20.2 PPG, while also ranking 29th defensively with 29.8 PPG allowed. It is also 31st in the NFL with 411.3 total YPG allowed.

Browns at Jaguars: Key injuries

Browns

  • S Sheldrick Redwine (knee) out
  • S Andrew Sendejo (groin) questionable
  • OG Wyatt Teller (calf) questionable
  • CB Denzel Ward Jr. (calf) out

Jaguars

  • WR DJ Chark Jr. (ribs) out
  • WR Chris Conley (hip) out
  • CB Sidney Jones IV (ankle) out
  • QB Gardner Minshew II (thumb) questionable
  • RB Dare Ogunbowale (hand) questionable

Browns at Jaguars: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Browns 27, Jaguars 16

Money line (?)

The Browns (-334) “should” be able to win this game rather handily, as the Jaguars (+265) have their top two receivers sidelined, one of the best cover men on the shelf and QB Mike Glennon making his first NFL start in three years. Still, putting up more than three times your potential return on a road team, particularly the Browns, is high-risk betting behavior. PASS.

Against the spread (?)

The BROWNS -7 (-110) is a better play on the spread with the Jaguars decimated by injuries at the skill positions. Cleveland will be able to mash Jacksonville in the run game, and QB Baker Mayfield might actually see some open looks down the field, too.

Over/Under (?)

UNDER 49.5 (-110) is a risky play anytime you’re dealing with the Jaguars, who have been more than giving this season. The Browns have hit the Under in four of the past five with weather being a big reason since the past three have been at home in poor conditions. However, Cleveland’s offense has struggled overall, and even against a banged-up Jacksonville, it might have some issues.

On the flip side, Glennon makes his first start in three years for the Jaguars, and he will be without the team’s top two receivers. It’s unlikely Jacksonville has much flash on offense.

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