Clark’s ‘Caps: Bank on these NBA player props, 2/16/21

Geoff Clark breaks down two NBA player prop bet predictions for Tuesday’s NBA slate.

Tuesday’s NBA schedule is highlighted by a meeting between the first and second overall picks in last year’s NBA draft when Zion Williamson’s New Orleans Pelicans square off with Ja Morant’s Memphis Grizzlies and a storyline-full meeting of the Brooklyn Nets and Phoenix Suns. Here are a couple of NBA player prop bet predictions to consider Tuesday.

Tuesday’s NBA player prop bet predictions 

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:30 p.m. ET.

Memphis Grizzlies C Jonas Valančiūnas UNDER 11.5 rebounds (-115)

First-year Pelicans C Steven Adams has been a dominating presence in the paint since entering the league in 2013. While his rebounding numbers have never been gaudy, his influence on the glass is typically measured by his on-off rebounding stats.

Adams is in the 98th percentile of bigs in offensive rebounding rate and 94th percentile of bigs in defensive rebounding rate this season for on-off numbers, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Furthermore, in 14 career games against Adams, Valančiūnas has grabbed more than 11 rebounds just three times. Valančiūnas has cleared 11.5 rebounds in seven of his 17 games played and the Pelicans are holding opposing centers to the fewest rebounds per game.

Also see: Pelicans at Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Special NBA Betting Promotion!

Place a $1 bet on either team’s money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a 3-pointer during the game today. Promotion available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. IA and PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!

Place your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Milwaukee Bucks SF Khris Middleton OVER 21.5 points (-115)

The Toronto Raptors visit the Bucks for their second meeting of the season and Middleton was incredible in the first head-to-head clash.

Middleton scored 24 points and connected on 5 of 8 3-point attempts in that game and the Raptors have struggled with wings all season. In fact, Toronto allows the most points per game and the fifth-highest 3-point percentage to opposing small forwards.

Part of the reason for this is Raptors SF OG Anunoby has been sidelined with an injury and his replacement, SG Norman Powell, has the worst defensive rating of any Toronto starter (115).

Lastly, Middleton has much better offensive splits at home compared to the road this season. Middleton has a 71.1% true shooting rate (58.3% true shooting on the road) and his offensive rating is 18 points better in Milwaukee.

Also see: Raptors at Bucks odds, picks and prediction

Play our new free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Also see:

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1368]