The Dallas Mavericks and PG Luka Doncic visit James Harden‘s Brooklyn Nets as the headliner of the NBA’s Saturday card but we can satiate our hoops appetite by shopping around the player props market. Here are a couple NBA player prop predictions to consider Saturday.
Saturday’s NBA player prop bet predictions
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Timberwolves C Karl-Anthony Towns OVER 27.5 points (-115)
The Timberwolves are in the nation’s capital Saturday to play the Washington Wizards and Towns has dominated the Wizards in his career. In nine career games against Washington, he’s averaging 28.8 points per game on .599/.500/.921 shooting with a 126 offensive rating.
Granted, KAT’s last game against the Wizards was November 2019, but a lot of these same players are still on Washington’s roster and there hasn’t been any improvement in the Wizards’ interior defense.
Washington is allowing the 4th-most points per game to opposing centers. The Wizards also rank 22nd in opponent’s second-chance points per game and 20th in defensive field-goal shooting within five feet of the basket.
Furthermore, both teams play at a very high tempo—Washington is first in pace of play and Minnesota is sixth—and the suspension of T-Wolves G Malik Beasley is going to open up more shots in the offense.
BET TOWNS OVER 27.5 POINTS (-115) for 1 unit.
Also see: Timberwolves at Wizards odds, picks and prediction
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Denver Nuggets PG Jamal Murray UNDER 24.5 points (-110)
The Oklahoma City Thunder play their second game of a back-to-back Saturday against the Nuggets and Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has always defended Murray well.
In their seven career head-to-head meetings, Murray has never eclipsed 24 points against SGA and averages just 14.9 points per game on .423/.235/.875 shooting.
Also, OKC’s defense does a great job against point guards. The Thunder allow the sixth-fewest points per game to opposing PGs and are tied for the second-lowest field-goal percentage against PGs.
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Murray is an above-average free-throw shooter but is only in the 59th percentile of combo guards in terms of foul shooting percentage, according to CleaningTheGlass.com. Furthermore, Murray averages just 2.3 free-throw attempts per game in his career vs. SGA and OKC is second in defensive FTA/FG rate this year.
TAKE MURRAY UNDER 24.5 points (-110) for 1 unit.
Also see: Nuggets at Thunder odds, picks and prediction
Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
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Also see:
- Bet Slippin’ Podcast: PGA Tour double-dip and what’s up with James Harden’s MVP odds?
- NBA announces Rising Stars game will not be played All-Star weekend (Rookie Wire)
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
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