The Cincinnati Reds (21-39) open a 3-game series on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks (29-33), who are coming off a 9-game road trip. First pitch is 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The season series is tied 2-2 as the teams meet for the last 3 times in the regular season.
The Reds are coming off a 7-6 win Sunday over the St. Louis Cardinals, the only win of that 3-game series. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games, which includes 2 wins over Arizona.
The Diamondbacks avoided a 3-game sweep Sunday against the Philadelphia Phillies with a 13-1 win. They finished their longest road trip of the year 4-5.
Reds at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Mike Minor vs. RHP Merrill Kelly
Minor (0-2, 8.64 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3 BB and 8 K in 8 1/3 IP.
- Missed the first 2 months with a shoulder injury and hasn’t gotten out of the 5th inning in either start so far this season.
- Has faced Arizona 6 times (4 starts) in his career, going 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA in 28 IP.
Kelly (5-3, 3.32 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 65 IP.
- Beat the Reds in his last start, pitching 6 scoreless innings of 1-hit ball in a 7-0 victory June 8.
- Had a 1.22 ERA in his first 6 starts and then a 7.77 ERA in his next 5 prior to his last start against the Reds.
Reds at Diamondbacks odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:26 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Diamondbacks (bet $155 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-160) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 5, Reds 3
Money line
This is only the 12th time all season the Diamondbacks are favored. They are 6-5 as the favorite this season.
The Reds have been abysmal on the road this season. They are 9-22 and have the 2nd-fewest road wins in MLB.
Kelly was back to his early-season form in his last outing against the Reds, while Minor has struggled in his 2 starts coming back from injury.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-155).
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!
Run line/Against the spread
The Reds are 27-33 ATS overall this season and 15-16 ATS on the road. Arizona is 36-26 ATS overall and 16-14 ATS at home.
The Diamondbacks have won Kelly’s last 2 starts after dropping 4 straight, both by at least 2 runs. In their 6 wins with Kelly starting, 5 have been by 2 or more runs. Six of their last 8 victories have been by more than 1 run.
This is the best bet of the night for this game. Take the DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+130).
Over/Under
In their 4 games against one another earlier this month, 2 had only 7 runs and 2 had 9 or more.
Four of the Diamondbacks’ last 6 games have had 9 or more runs and 8 of the Reds’ last 11 have had 9 or more runs.
But when Kelly is pitching well, the scores are lower. In 5 of the 6 wins Arizona has with him on the mound, there have been fewer than 9 runs.
I LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-102).
Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]