Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Bengals (12-7) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (14-5) Sunday for the AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (on CBS). Below, we look at the Bengals vs. Chiefs odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Bengals have grinded out a pair of low-scoring playoff wins. They beat the Las Vegas Raiders at home in a Wild Card matchup 26-19 before going on the road to upset the AFC’s top-seeded Tennessee Titans 19-16 in the Divisional Round. The Bengals are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) in the postseason, with the Under cashing in both outings.

The Chiefs have used offense to power past their foes, doubling up the Pittsburgh Steelers 42-21 in a home Wild Card tilt before outlasting the Buffalo Bills in a classic 42-36 Divisional Round overtime thriller. The Chiefs are also 2-0 ATS in the postseason, with the Over hitting in each game.

See also: 49ers at Rams NFC Championship odds, picks and prediction

Bengals at Chiefs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:06 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bengals +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Chiefs -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bengals +7.5 (-115) | Chiefs -7.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Bengals at Chiefs key injuries

Bengals

  • DL Josh Tupou (knee) questionable

Chiefs

  • S Tyrann Mathieu (concussion) questionable
  • RB Darrel Williams (toe) questionable

Let’s Make This Interesting

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Bengals at Chiefs odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Chiefs 31, Bengals 26

Money line

AVOID.

Kansas City (-340) will cost 3.4 times your potential return. That’s just too risky for such a small amount of winnings, especially in a potentially close game.

More NFL Championship coverage:

Against the spread

CINCINNATI +7.5 (-115) is a strong play, even with a little extra juice as long as the number stays above 7 and a hook.

I’m not as big of a fan of this number if it’s a flat 7, although the Bengals are playing well enough in these playoffs to take those points.

The Bengals have the offensive skill position players to not only hang with QB Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, but potentially win this one outright if the home team were to make any mistakes.

Over/Under

The OVER 54.5 (-108) is the best play on the board in this early game on Championship Week.

These teams just played in the Queen City in Week 17 with QB Joe Burrow and the Bengals outlasting the high-octane Chiefs 34-31. A change of venue might change the overall winner, but there still will be plenty of offense regardless of where they play this game.

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