The Toronto Blue Jays (64-58) host the Chicago White Sox (72-53) Monday for the start of a four-game set at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the White Sox vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: White Sox lead 2-1.
RHP Lance Lynn is on the mound for the White Sox. Lynn is 10-3 with a 2.26 ERA (123 2/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 22 starts.
- Last outing: No-decision with 4 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 4 K in Chicago’s 3-2 win over the Oakland Athletics Wednesday.
- Lynn took a no-decision against Toronto with 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 9 K in Chicago’s 6-2 loss June 9.
- vs. Blue Jays on the current roster: 3.77 FIP with a .267 batting average (BA), .327 wOBA, .439 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 25.8 K% and 88.0 mph exit velocity (EV) in 93 plate appearances (PA).
RHP Alek Manoah makes his 13th start for the Blue Jays. Manoah is 5-2 with a 3.34 ERA (62 IP, 23 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 this year.
- Last outing: Loss, 12-6, with 3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 2 K Tuesday at the Washington Nationals.
- Manoah also got a no-decision in Toronto’s 6-2 victory over Chicago June 9 with 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 4 K.
- vs. White Sox on the current roster: 1.91 FIP with a .231 BA, .231 wOBA, .419 xSLG, 15.4 K% and 92.9 mph EV in 13 PA.
White Sox at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: White Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+140) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-180)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Prediction
Blue Jays 5, White Sox 3
Money line (ML)
This is a good price for the BLUE JAYS (-105) who’ve been consistent in Toronto aside from dropping two of three this past weekend against the Detroit Tigers. Also, the White Sox are just 30-29 on the road, and there’s value in backing Manoah in this spot.
First of all, Manoah got drilled in his last start, but that was on the road, and he’s a lot more effective at home. For instance, Manoah is 3-0 with a 1.91 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 6 ER) and 0.95 WHIP in five home starts.
Moreover, the Blue Jays are 3-0 coming off a loss with Manoah on the bump, including their 6-2 win over the White Sox June 9 when they gave Lynn the start. Not only that, but Manoah has a big-game pitcher moxie, and the Blue Jays are fighting for an AL Wild Card berth.
This outing against the White Sox qualifies as a “big game” given Toronto’s place in the standings. Manoah is 3-1 against teams with a winning record with a 1.65 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 3.3 K/BB and hasn’t allowed a home run.
BET 1 unit on the BLUE JAYS (-105).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
As awesome as it would be to have Toronto’s run line for insurance on our money line bet, the Blue Jays +1.5 (-180) is just a little out of my price range.
PASS.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER (-107) for a tiny wager, if at all, because I prefer Toronto’s money line more than the total in this contest.
However, we have two “top of the rotation” guys on the mound Monday, and Lynn has the lowest ERA for any starter in the AL. In addition, both teams have played more to the Under in their location-based situational trends.
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