The Chicago White Sox (49-34) and Minnesota Twins (34-48) open a three-game AL Central set Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Dylan Cease is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. Cease is 7-3 with a 3.75 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 11.4 K/9, and 3.9 BB/9 in 81 2/3 IP over 16 starts.
Cease is facing the Twins for a second consecutive start. He allowed 2 runs on 3 hits and 3 walks while fanning 7 over 6 innings Wednesday to earn a win over Minnesota.
RHP Bailey Ober is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. In 6 starts, Ober is 0-1 with a 5.84 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 9.5 K/9, and 2.2 BB/9 in 24 2/3 IP.
Ober faced Cease in that Wednesday game and was dealt his first career loss after giving up 5 runs on 4 H and 2 BB while striking out 3 across 3 1/3 IP. The 25-year-old rookie has allowed 5 home runs and 9 ER across 7 1/3 IP against Chicago this year.
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White Sox at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:17 a.m. ET.
- Money line: White Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+135) | Twins +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under: 10 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Twins 5, White Sox 4
Money line (ML)
The White Sox dropped 2-of-3 at Detroit over a weekend series that kicked off their current nine-game road trip. Despite the club’s success overall (the Sox head into this week with a 6-game lead in the AL Central) Chicago has sometimes struggled away from home. The White Sox are 18-20 over 38 road games and are 2-7 in their last 9 away from home.
The Twins were swept in a three-gamer at Chicago last week and are 1-8 against the ChiSox this season. Minnesota is also coming off a 1-2 weekend (at Kansas City) and is 1-5 in its last 6 games.
The TWINS (-105) are a small favorite in Monday’s opener. The Minnesota bullpen is in better shape coming off the weekend, and the Twins own a robust .776 OPS since June 1.
Statcast quality-of-contact metrics peg the White Sox as being fortunate in averaging their 4.99 runs per game. The Minnesota offense, good as it is, has been undone by low batting averages on balls in play in key high-leverage situations. The Twins have scored 4.65 RPG and are capable of more.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the extended house edge on the run line prices.
Over/Under (O/U)
A hot night and an outward breeze, and some respect for these offenses, has the total in double digits. Low humidity is also in the forecast and so is enough talent on the mound: BACK THE UNDER 10 (-105).
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