The Chicago White Sox (24-15) begin a three-game set with the Minnesota Twins (13-25) Monday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Chicago split its four-game series with the Kansas City Royals after winning Sunday 4-3. The White Sox have won eight of their previous 10 games, which includes a three-game sweep of the Twins last week.
Minnesota lost the rubber match of its three-game set with the Oakland Athletics Sunday and have lost nine of the last 11 games.
Season series: White Sox 3-0.
LHP Dallas Keuchel gets the start for the White Sox. Keuchel is 2-1 with a 4.53 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 3.7 K/9 over 8 starts.
- Last outing: Win, 13-8, in 5 2/3 IP with 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 1 K vs. the Twins Wednesday.
- Career vs. the Twins: 5-3 with a 3.91 ERA (46 IP, 20 ER), 1.46 WHIP and 7.6 K/9 in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance.
- Vs. Twins on the current roster: 162 at-bats with a .259/.324/.407 slash line, 27/16 K/BB, 7 HR and 17 RBIs.
LHP J.A. Happ is on the mound for the Twins. Happ is 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 across 6 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 13-8, in 3 1/3 IP with 9 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, and 3 K Wednesday against the White Sox.
- Last 5 vs. the White Sox: 2-2 with an 8.76 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 10 BB and 29 K.
- Vs. White Sox on the current roster: 95 at-bats with a .326/.366/.558 slash line, 23/5 K/BB, 3 HR and 17 RBIs.
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White Sox at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:17 a.m. ET.
- Money line: White Sox -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Twins -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+145) | Twins +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
White Sox 8, Twins 4
Money line (ML)
Both teams hit lefties well and each starter’s advanced pitching numbers are alarming, but Chicago’s lineup is the best in the league vs. left-handed pitching.
The White Sox are first in wRC+, wOBA, OPS and seventh in BB/K vs. lefties, however, both Keuchel and Happ grade in the 31st percentile or lower in expected wOBA, expected slugging percentage, whiff% and K%.
Lastly, the White Sox have beaten the Twins in four straight and Minnesota has lost four consecutive meetings with AL Central opponents.
GIMME the WHITE SOX (-110) for 1 unit.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
I’ll “SPRINKLE” a tiny wager on the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+145) because they should be able to pad whatever lead they get on Happ vs. Minnesota’s terrible bullpen.
The Twins relievers are a bottom-10 unit in WAR, xFIP and home runs per nine innings and allow the hardest hit rate by 5.4%, whereas White Sox relievers are fifth in WAR and third in xFIP.
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS because I prefer the side more than the total in this game, but since both lineups drill lefties and both starters serve up plenty of meatballs to get crushed, I definitely lean Over 9.5 (-110).
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