The Chicago White Sox (27-31) limp into the Motor City to face the Detroit Tigers (24-35) Monday in the 1st of a 3-game set at Comerica Park. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Chicago leads 2-1.
Chicago has lost 4 of 5 after dropping the last 2 games in extra innings against the Texas Rangers. Things have gotten so bad, the fans have been chanting for Hall of Fame manager Tony La Russa’s job. This is a series that can turn everything around. It starts with the season debut of ace RHP Lance Lynn, who underwent knee surgery in spring training.
The Tigers got off to a bad start, but they have won 11 of the last 20 and are a respectable (for their standards) 16-17 at home and 11-11 against AL Central opponents. Detroit hitters have struggled the last week. SS Javier Baez had a slash line of .188/.316/.250 (BA/OBP/SLG) and DH Miguel Cabrera‘s was .158/.158/.158.
White Sox at Tigers projected starters
RHP Lance Lynn vs. RHP Rony Garcia
Lynn (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st start of the season off the injured list. He was 11-6 with a 2.69 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 157 innings last year. He finished third in the AL Cy Young voting.
- Was 3-0 with a 1.59 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9, 10.1 K/9 in 3 starts against Detroit last year.
- Had a 1.35 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 7 K’s in 6 2/3 innings in 3 rehab starts in the minors. He didn’t walk a batter.
- Current Tigers are hitting .183 with a 25.2 K% in 103 plate appearances against Lynn.
Garcia (0-1, 4.50 ERA) makes his 4th start (12th game). He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and a 10.6 K/9 in 28 IP.
- Had a no-decision in last start, June 5 at the New York Yankees, allowing 2 R, 4 H, 1 BB with 4 K in 5 IP.
- Has a 9.82 ERA in 5 relief outings against the White Sox in his career.
- Current White Sox hitters have hit .350 with a .554 expected weighted on-base average in 21 plate appearances against him.
White Sox at Tigers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:34 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): White Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Tigers +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox -1.5 (+115) | Tigers +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)
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White Sox at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
White Sox 7, Tigers 3
Money line
There is a 42.9% chance of rain, and a gust of wind blowing in at 10.1 mph, which will be factors here. That may be what’s keeping the White Sox’s money line below -150. There’s a lot to like on the White Sox’s side as this is a series they’ll be looking to sweep as they’re 6 games back in the division and 3 1/2 out of the wild card. Lynn’s return should create an emotional boost, and he’s a presence in the dugout. Go with the WHITE SOX -145 or HAMMER WHITE SOX FIRST 9 INNINGS (incl. Tie) -122.
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Run line/Against the spread
I think the White Sox roll in this one. If there’s any hesitance because it’s Lynn’s first start, try this on for size. His first start of 2021, he didn’t allow an earned run (2 unearned) in 4 2/3 innings. Lynn threw a 5-hit, 11-K shutout in his next start. His first start after the first half of 2020 was wiped out: he threw 6 shutout innings with 9 K’s. He may give up some runs in this one, but Chicago has pummeled Garcia in relief work the last couple of years. LEAN WHITE SOX -1.5 (+115).
Over/Under
I would be all for the Over here if the chance of rain were lower. The Over has cashed in 4 straight for the White Sox and in 2 of the 3 previous meetings between these teams. For now, we’ll PASS, but if the forecast clears up before first pitch I would consider an Over.
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