The Chicago Cubs (47-67) dropped Game 1 of the 3-game series Monday and will look to rebound against the Washington Nationals (39-78) Tuesday evening. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 2-2
The Cubs have lost 7 of 8 on the road, falling to 23-33 away from home on the season. They were up 3-0 Monday but succumbed late to fall by a 5-4 score.
Nats DH Nelson Cruz hit the go-ahead homer in the bottom of the 8th to seal the victory. The Nats have lost 9 of their last 12 games, with all 3 of the wins during that stretch being decided by just 1 run.
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Cubs at Nationals projected starters
LHP Justin Steele vs. LHP Patrick Corbin
Steele (4-7, 3.63 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 101 2/3 IP.
- He got off to a rough start this season and had a 5.40 ERA at the end of May. In 11 starts since, he has recorded a 2.48 ERA and 8.8 K/9.
- Steele allowed 2 ER on 8 H and struck out 9 over 6 IP in his last start against the Nats Aug. 10.
- He has a strong 26.3% K% in eight road starts this season compared to 22.1% at home. But his road ERA sits at 4.71 while he owns a 3.03 mark at home.
Corbin (4-16, 7.02 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.82 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 110 1/3 IP.
- He has taken the loss in each of his last six starts, putting up a 12.46 ERA with 7 HR allowed in 21 2/3 IP over that span.
- Corbin has made 12 starts at home, where he has posted a 5.17 ERA, 8.8 K/9, and 1.7 HR/9 across 62 2/3 IP.
Cubs at Nationals odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Cubs -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (-103) | Nationals +1.5 (-117)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Cubs at Nationals picks and predictions
Prediction
Cubs 6, Nationals 3
Money line
Corbin has allowed at least 4 ER in 6 consecutive starts, and the Nationals have lost all of those games, being outscored 47-17 in that span. Chicago hasn’t been great on the road this season, but the bats should break out tonight, and Steele has been pitching very well. A small play on CUBS -180 should pay off.
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Run line/Against the spread
Washington is 8-15 since the All-Star break, with all but 1 of the losses being decided by more than 1 run. They have lost 9 of the last 10 games that Corbin has started and may struggle to keep this one close. Back the CUBS -1.5 (-103).
Over/Under
Corbin has had a disastrous season, and his struggles have escalated in recent weeks. The total has gone over in 4 of Corbin’s last 5 starts, and that trend should continue. Take the OVER 8.5 (-115).
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