The Chicago Cubs (42-35) and Los Angeles Dodgers (46-31) wrap up a four-game series at Dodger Stadium on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Cubs lead 4-2
CF Cody Bellinger’s walk-off, solo homer with two outs in the ninth inning lifted the Dodgers to a 3-2 victory Saturday. It was Los Angeles’ second consecutive win in the series after getting no hit by four Chicago pitchers in an opening 4-0 defeat.
RHP Adbert Alzolay is projected to start for Chicago Sunday. He is 4-6 with a 4.19 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 12 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-0 home setback to Cleveland Indians Monday
- Career vs. Dodgers: 0-0, 3.60 ERA (5 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a no-decision at Chicago May 5
LHP Clayton Kershaw is L.A.’s projected starter. He’s 8-7 with a 3.43 ERA (94 1/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 1.6 BB/9 in 16 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 3-2 defeat at San Diego Padres Tuesday
- Career vs. Cubs (regular season): 6-4, 3.21 ERA (70 IP, 25 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 in 12 starts
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Cubs at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:05 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Cubs +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Cubs +1.5 (-120) | Dodgers -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Cubs 1
Money line (ML)
Kershaw will be extra motivated due to posting the shortest outing of his career the last time he faced the Cubs. The three-time Cy Young winner gave up 4 first-inning runs and didn’t come out for the second in a 7-1 loss at Wrigley Field May 4.
“It’s embarrassing,” Kershaw told MLB.com after the game.
That’s enough for me to back the DODGERS (-200), but because the price is costly, I won’t bet more than 2 UNITS. In this case, a $100 bettor would wager $200 to win $100 and a $20 bettor would wager $40 to win $20.
Plus, the Cubs’ Alzolay struggles on the road, going 1-4 with a 4.61 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 14 ER) in 2021.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS despite Chicago owning the NL’s second-best ATS record at 43-34 and L.A. being 36-41 ATS, including 1-6 ATS in its last seven games.
I’m just not betting against Kershaw in this one.
Over/Under (O/U)
Bet UNDER 8 (-115) to WIN A HALF UNIT.
- This series’ first 3 games cashed Under tickets
- The Cubs have played 6 Unders in a row
- The Cubs have the second-most Unders in the MLB (44-29-4) – behind the Washington Nationals (48-23-3)
The hesitation is due to the Dodgers’ 39-36-2 O/U record, including 10-6 in Kershaw’s starts.
Note: There is no STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager – due to L.A.’s chalky ML price.
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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| JOHNNY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| 2021 MLB | 66-73-2 | 21-29-1 | -13.1475 |
| 2020 MLB | 80-59-1 | 39-21 | +24.79 |
| 2021 (all sports) | 172-160-3 | 72-71-1 | +1.9625 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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