The Chicago Cubs (42-34) and Los Angeles Dodgers (45-31) play the third game of a four-game series Saturday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Cubs lead 4-1
One night after getting no hit by four Cubs pitchers in a 4-0 loss Thursday, the Dodgers evened the series with a 6-2 victory Friday.
RHP Alec Mills is projected to start Saturday for the Cubs. He is 3-1 with a 5.18 ERA (33 IP, 19 ER), 1.49 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 in 3 starts and 12 relief appearances.
- Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 2-0 home shutout of Miami Marlins Sunday
- 2021 as starter: 1-1, 3.38 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 13 H, 2 BB, 9 K
- Career vs. Dodgers: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (2 IP, 0 ER), 3 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 1 relief outing May 5
LHP Julio Urias is the Dodgers’ projected starter. The southpaw is 9-3 with a 3.99 ERA (88 IP, 39 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 in 15 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 6-2 defeat at San Diego Padres Monday
- Career vs. Cubs (regular season): 1-1, 3.38 ERA (16 IP, 6 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 2 starts and 2 bullpen appearances
MLB betting offers/promotions
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Cubs at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Cubs +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Cubs +1.5 (-120) | Dodgers -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Cubs 4, Dodgers 2
Money line (ML)
The CUBS (+155) are the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. There’s just too much value here.
Chicago is 4-1 vs. Los Angeles this season.
The Cubs’ Mills is coming off a 5-inning shutout performance.
The Dodgers’ Urias has allowed 11 ER in his last 3 starts (15 2/3 IP) for a 6.32 ERA.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS. If you want a bit of insurance by taking the 1.5 runs, I could see divvying up your Cubs’ ML wager with a bet on Cubs +1.5 (-120).
Chicago has the second-best ATS record in the NL, behind the San Francisco Giants’ 50-25 ATS mark.
Meanwhile, L.A. is 1-5 ATS in its last six games.
ATS records: Cubs 42-34 | Dodgers 36-40
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 9 (-115) is worth a HALF-UNIT wager.
The Cubs have the second-best Under record in the majors – behind the Washington Nationals (47-23-3) – and have played 5 Unders in a row, including the first two games of this series.
The Under is also 3-0 in Mills’ three starts.
The reason for the half-unit suggestion is because the Over is 11-2-1 in Urias’ last 14 starts.
O/U records: Cubs 29-43-4 | Dodgers 39-35-2
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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| JOHNNY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| 2021 MLB | 65-72-2 | 21-28-1 | -12.1475 |
| 2020 MLB | 80-59-1 | 39-21 | +24.79 |
| 2021 (all sports) | 171-159-3 | 72-70-1 | +2.9625 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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