After winning the series opener the Chicago Cubs (42-33) look to keep the momentum rolling as they play the second game of a four-game road series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (44-31) Friday, with first pitch scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Jake Arrieta is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 5-8 with a 5.45 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 and 3.7 BB/9 in 66 IP over 14 starts.
Arrieta has lost his last four decisions and has not pitched more than 5 innings while recording a 7.22 ERA in his last seven starts.
RHP Tony Gonsolin is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA with a 1.89 WHIP. He has recorded 11 K and 8 BB in 9 IP over three starts.
The Dodgers have won all of his starts despite Gonsolin not making it out of the fourth inning in any appearance.
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Cubs at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:28 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Cubs +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Dodgers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Cubs +1.5 (-130) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Cubs 2
Money line (ML)
While the Cubs are tied for the NL Central lead they are only 16-20 on the road this season and had lost 7 of their last 11 games away from Wrigley Field prior to Thursday night’s 4-0 win. Arrieta is 3-4 with a 6.51 ERA through eight road starts this season.
The Dodgers are 23-13 at home this season and were 6-3 in their last nine home games prior to their Thursday night loss. Gonsolin has allowed one earned run in 3 2/3 IP at home so far this season.
Take the DODGERS (-185).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Cubs are 42-33 ATS overall and have covered 20 of 36 on the road. Seven of the Cubs’ eight losses in Arrieta starts have come by at least two runs.
The Dodgers are only 35-40 ATS this season but are 19-17 ATS at home. They have failed to cover the spread in their last five games.
I expect Gonsolin to pitch well and go a little deeper in the game, and that Arrieta will not be great.
Take the DODGERS -1.5 (+105).
Over/Under (O/U)
The Over percentage at Dodger Stadium this season is 52.9%.
Only one of the four games between the two teams this season had a total of more than 9 runs.
11 of Arrieta’s 14 starts have resulted in fewer than 9 total runs, while two of Gonsolin’s three have also come in under 9.
Take UNDER 9 (-105).
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