The Chicago Cubs (18-10) are in the Motor City for the second of a three-game set with the Detroit Tigers (11-16), Tuesday. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at Comerica Park. We analyze the Cubs-Tigers betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
The Cubs won game 1 of the series, 9-3, on Monday.
Cubs at Tigers: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Tyler Chatwood vs. RHP Spencer Turnbull
Chatwood in 2020: 2-1 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP (23 K, 9 ER in 15 IP) over 3 starts.
- Chatwood got pummeled in his last outing on Aug. 6 the Kansas City Royals. He gave up 11 hits and 8 earned runs in a 2 ⅓ innings pitched in the 13-2 loss.
Turnbull in 2020: 2-2 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP (21 K, 10 ER in 23 ⅔ IP) over 5 starts.
- Turnbull also threw 2 innings in a 9-0 loss to the Chicago White Sox in his last start. The righty allowed 3 earned runs and walked 4 White Sox batters.
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Cubs at Tigers: Key injuries
Get the latest injury news here.
Cubs
- 3B Kris Bryant (wrist) out
- OF Steven Souza (hamstring) out
Tigers
- 1B C.J. Cron (knee) out for the season
- OF Cameron Maybin (leg) questionable
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Cubs at Tigers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Cubs 9, Tigers 4
Moneyline (ML)
We are getting a good price on the Cubs (-121) because Chatwood’s numbers are worse than Detroit’s starter and they’ve been up and down in their past 10 games with a 5-5 record.
The Tigers’ (EVEN) hitting splits plummet when facing righties. Detroit hits 86 points lower, gets on base 10% lower and scores more than three fewer runs per game against right-handers compared to lefties.
Chicago is 4-0 in their last four games as a road favorite and 4-1 in the last five meetings with Detroit. BET CUBS (-121) on the moneyline. New to sports betting? A $121 bet on the Cubs (-121) fetches a $100 profit if Chicago beats Detroit outright.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Turnbull has gotten beaten up at home in his early career. He has a lifetime 1-13 record with a 5.21 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP at Comerica Park. And Chatwood, for whatever reason, is better on the road compared to home. He’s got a 24-22 road record (27-34 at home) with a 3.65 ERA and 1.39 WHIP (5.05 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in away games).
Also, Detroit is tied for the worst run line record in the MLB (9-18). TAKE CUBS -1.5 (+120) on the run line.
Over/Under (O/U)
I am going to PASS THE TOTAL in Cubs-Tigers. It smells fishy to me. The market is on the Under 9.5 (-115), hence the more vig, despite both of the starters being below-average.
The Over 9.5 (-106) seems like a good bet, but there is definitely a world where the Cubs build a big early lead and the game just dies.
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