The Chicago Cubs (23-33) try to rebound against the Baltimore Orioles (24-33) Wednesday in the final of a 2-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Baltimore leads 1-0 with 2 games scheduled at Wrigley Field in July.
The Orioles rolled over the Cubbies Tueaday in a 9-3 rout. They touched Cubs RHP Keegan Thompson for 7 runs in 3 innings for his 1st loss of the season. The O’s hit 5 home runs in the game.
Rain is in the forecast Wednesday so that’ll be something to watch as the evening progresses.
Cubs at Orioles projected starters
RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Jordan Lyles
Stroman (2-5, 5.32 ERA) makes his 10th start in what has been a rough year. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP.
- He’s 3-2 with a 4.73 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, 5 BB and 26 K in 32 1/3 IP over 6 career starts at Camden Yards.
- His ERA is bloated after allowing 9 ER in his last start against the St. Louis Cardinals. He also allowed 7 ER in an April start against the Tampa Rays.
- Current Orioles hitters have hit .306 in 51 plate appearances against him.
Lyles (3-4, 4.50 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 62 IP.
- He’s 3-4 with a 5.68 ERA in 15 career appearances (9 starts) against the Cubs.
- Has an extreme home-road split with a 6.03 road ERA this year. He’s 1-1 with a 2.93 ERA at home.
- Current Cubs hitters have tattooed him for a .409 batting average and a .511 weighted on-base average in 23 plate appearances.
Cubs at Orioles odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:03 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Cubs -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+125) | Orioles +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
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Cubs at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Cubs 5, Orioles 3
Money line
Stroman’s career numbers against a predominately bad Orioles team in Camden are a little concerning, but he’s coming off one of the worst starts of his career. He’ll be dialed in to miss bats. Despite being a sub-.500 team, the Cubs have the 13th-ranked offense in baseball. I like the CUBS (-130) here.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Cubs are 12-13 on the road, which is pretty good for a 23-33 team. They’re also 16-9 on the run line on the road, which is deceiving because most of the time, they’re the underdogs. I’m picking the run line to cash, but I need more than +125 for a sub-.500 road team to win by 2 or more. Instead, let’s go with the CUBS FIRST 9 INNINGS (-108) because I don’t think we’ll need extras to settle this.
Over/Under
This total is pretty dicey, and I don’t want anything to do with it — especially with rain in the forecast, which could end it prematurely. Instead, I’ll present a prop bet option. Cubs C Willson Contreras is 4-for-7 with 2 HR and 1 double lifetime against Lyles. You could take him for OVER 1.5 total bases (-104) on its own. You could also parlay the CUBS’ ML, the CUBS FIRST 9 INNINGS with Contreras OVER 1.5 total bases — and a $10 wager could cash a $56.58 payout.
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