The Chicago Cubs (46-46) hope to complete a three-game sweep over the Arizona Diamondbacks (26-68) Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Zach Davies is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 5-6 with a 4.37 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 5.7 K/9 and 4.7 BB/9 in 92 2/3 IP over 19 starts.
The Cubs are 0-3 in his last three starts and he has not worked beyond the fifth inning since June 24.
RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 5-7 with a 4.46 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 109 IP over 19 starts.
Arizona is 4-1 in his last five starts and he has not picked up a loss since June 16. Kelly has a 2.05 ERA over 30 2/3 innings over that span.
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Cubs at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:13 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Cubs -1.5 (+135) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Diamondbacks 5, Cubs 3
Money line (ML)
The Cubs had lost their previous nine road games prior to winning the first two games of this series. They are 18-29 away from Wrigley Field and have only swept one road series this season.
The Diamondbacks have won four of Kelly’s last five starts and each of the last four times the Diamondbacks have been on a multiple-game losing skids Kelly has been on the mound when it ended.
Expect his good pitching to continue.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-105).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Cubs are 51-41 ATS all season and 27-20 ATS on the road. They covered the spread in their two wins to start the series.
The Diamondbacks are 23-22 ATS at home. They have not covered the spread in their last four games but have not gone more than four games without covering the spread since failing to do so in six straight from June 3-9, which is the only time it has happened all year.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-160).
Over/Under (O/U)
59.1% of the games at Chase Field have gone Over the projected total, but only two of Kelly’s last five starts have had totals of more than 9 runs.
Only two of the Cubs’ last 18 road games have had totals of greater than nine runs.
Take UNDER 9 (-105).
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