Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Chicago Bears (4-9) meet the Minnesota Vikings (11-2) for Monday Night Football at U.S. Bank Stadium in Week 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Bears vs. Vikings odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Bears lost 38-13 last Sunday at the San Francicso 49ers as a 3-point underdog as the Over (43.5) cashed. It was the first game under interim head coach Thomas Brown after Matt Eberflus was relieved of his duties after a Thanksgiving Day disaster in Detroit.

Chicago has lost 7 games in a row, although it is 2-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 4 outings, including a 30-27 overtime loss at home to the Vikings in the first meeting in Week 12 as the Over (39.5) cashed. The line pushed at most shops with the Bears as a 3-point underdog.

Minnesota doubled up the Atlanta Falcons 42-21 last week in a battle with old friend QB Kirk Cousins, covering as a 6-point favorite as the Over (46.5) cashed. Minnesota has won 6 in a row, but it is just 3-4-1 ATS in the past 8 games, while failing to cover in its only previous game as a favorite of 7 or more points. The Under is on a 4-2 run in the past 6 games, too.

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Bears at Vikings odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 7:03 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bears +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Vikings -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Bears +7 (-115) | Vikings -7 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bears at Vikings key injuries

Bears

  • OL Ryan Bates (concussion) out
  • DL Gervon Dexter Sr. (knee) out
  • RB Roschon Johnson (concussion) out
  • RB D’Andre Swift (groin) questionable

Vikings

  • CB Stephon Gilmore (hamstring) questionable

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Bears at Vikings picks and predictions

Prediction

Vikings 26, Bears 20

Moneyline

The Vikings (-350) will cost you 3 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too expensive, even at home in a prime-time game against an inferior opponent.

The Bears (+260) are banged up, and it’s a bit concerning that Swift carries a questionable tag into Monday’s game.

PASS.

Against the spread

The BEARS +7 (-110) are the play catching the points, and this would be even nicer if we could get 7 and a hook.

While it is concerning that Swift carries a questionable tag, if he were to sit, we might see rookie QB Caleb Williams and the pass offense go to a mostly aerial-based attack. That’s not an entirely bad thing, as the Vikings -7 (-110) rank 29th in NFL against the pass, allowing 250.6 yards per game through the air.

Over/Under

OVER 43.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

Again, we might see Chicago go to the air early and often, and that’s great news for Over bettors. And, when these teams met in Chitown in Week 12, we had a combined 57 points, halting a 3-0 Under run in the series.

The Bears have cashed high in 2 of the past 3 games, including the most recent road game last Sunday in San Francisco.

For the Vikings, the Over has hit in 2 of the past 3 games, while going 3-0 inside the division so far this season.

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