The San Antonio Spurs (22-17) host the Charlotte Hornets (20-21) at AT&T Center Monday. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Hornets-Spurs odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
San Antonio had a three-game win streak snapped by the Milwaukee Bucks in a 120-113 loss Saturday. The Spurs covered the spread as 11.5-point underdogs; they’re 4-3 straight up and 5-2 against the spread since the All-Star break.
This is the fourth game of a five-game Western Conference road trip for the Hornets. They’ve lost the first three contests thus far and failed to cover the spread in each game. Charlotte’s losing skid followed a four-game winning streak that started a game before the All-Star break. The Hornets are 3-3 straight up and 2-4 ATS since the break.
The Spurs crushed the Hornets 122-110 as 4-point road favorites in their first meeting of the season. The game went Over the projected total by 6 points.
Hornets at Spurs: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Hornets +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Spurs -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Hornets +5 (-105) | Spurs -5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 223.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Hornets at Spurs: Key injuries
Hornets
- SG Terry Rozier (hip) probable
- C Cody Zeller (shoulder) out
- PG LaMelo Ball (wrist) out
Spurs
- PF LaMarcus Aldridge (coach’s decision) out
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Hornets at Spurs: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Spurs 113, Hornets 100
Money line (ML)
PASS because I figure San Antonio wins this game outright but the Spurs (-200) are far too expensive for them or any other NBA regular-season favorite especially with how well underdogs have performed so far this season.
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Against the spread (ATS)
Slight LEAN toward SPURS -5 (-115) for one-fifth of a unit because they are my preferred side even though I’m not in love with the spread in this spot.
Ball’s injury stinks in the long run for Charlotte; however, in the short run or against offensively limited teams—which San Antonio is—the Hornets are a live underdog.
That being said, San Antonio is in much better form lately and is a lot healthier. BET SPURS -5 (-115) on a tiny wager.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Hornets attempt the eighth-highest volume of shots at the rim, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, but the Spurs have two elite rim protectors in starting C Jakob Poeltl and backup PF Rudy Gay. Both of which are major factors in San Antonio’s fourth-best defensive field-goal percentage vs. shots at the rim.
Also, the loss of Ball hurts Charlotte’s offense a lot more than its defense. In fact, his replacement—PG Devonte’ Graham—is the Hornets’ leader in on-off court net rating and in the 97th percentile of point guards for team on-off defensive effective field-goal percentage, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.
Furthermore, this total opened at 224.5 and betting reports indicate more money has come in on the Over yet the total is a full-point lower than the opener.
This line movement is puzzling and has me thinking the value is on the UNDER 223.5 (-105). Hopefully, there’s a better price closer to tip-off, but at the current number, I’d BET 1.25 units on UNDER 223.5 (-105).
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