The Portland Trail Blazers (18-14) host the Charlotte Hornets (16-17) Monday at Moda Center for a 10:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Hornets-Trail Blazers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Charlotte has alternated wins and losses over its previous eight games (4-4 straight up and against the spread) but stole a victory last night over the Sacramento Kings as a 3.5-point road underdog. The Kings had a 98.9% win probability up 8 points inside of a minute to play.
The Trail Blazers have lost four in a row (1-3 ATS) but the last three losses have come on the road against winning Western Conference teams, including a 103-92 loss Friday at the Los Angeles Lakers as 4-point underdogs. But, Portland has won six straight over Charlotte (1-5 ATS).
Hornets at Trail Blazers: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Hornets +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Trail Blazers -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Hornets +6.5 (-110) | Trail Blazers -6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 232.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Hornets at Trail Blazers: Key injuries
Hornets
- SF Gordon Hayward (hand) probable
- C Cody Zeller (hip) questionable
- PG Devonte’ Graham (knee) doubtful
Trail Blazers
- SG C.J. McCollum (foot) out
- PF Zach Collins (ankle) out
- C Jusuf Nurkic (wrist) out
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Hornets at Trail Blazers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Hornets 118, Trail Blazers 114
Money line (ML)
Slight lean on HORNETS (+220) for a tiny wager pending Hayward’s final game status because I like Charlotte to cover.
Hornets PF P.J. Washington erupted Sunday night for 42 points so he’s feeling confident, PG Terry Rozier has been on fire all season and Hayward’s return would make Charlotte’s offense an awful matchup for Portland’s defense.
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Against the spread (ATS)
Both teams are in the bottom-10 in terms of defensive efficiency and each team plays very well against bad defenses.
According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Portland is 8-1 overall with the second-best spread differential (plus-7.1 points) against bottom-10 defenses, but Charlotte is 8-2 with the best spread differential in the Association (plus-9.6 points) in those matchups.
Also, this is a better spot for the Hornets situationally. Charlotte is 8-6 ATS as a road dog and 5-2 ATS on no rest with a plus-9.6 spread differential. Portland is 5-9 ATS at home.
Finally, the Hornets are one of five teams with a better net rating in clutch situations than the Trail Blazers and Charlotte has the highest clutch effective field-goal percentage by six points.
TAKE the HORNETS +6.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS because my predicted score is aligned with BetMGM‘s so there isn’t value for me to bet this.
I lean Over 232.5 (-115) since I like Charlotte to cover and the Hornets have gone Over the projected total in four straight and seven of their last eight games.
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Also see:
- Hornets Reactions: Charlotte stuns Sacramento with miracle rally in final minute (Lonzo Wire)
- Hoops Hype rumors: Hornets | Trail Blazers
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